Antithetic Multilevel Particle Filters

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Jasra, Ajay, Maama, Mohamed, Ombao, Hernando
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Jasra, Ajay
Maama, Mohamed
Ombao, Hernando
author_facet Jasra, Ajay
Maama, Mohamed
Ombao, Hernando
contents In this paper we consider the filtering of partially observed multi-dimensional diffusion processes that are observed regularly at discrete times. This is a challenging problem which requires the use of advanced numerical schemes based upon time-discretization of the diffusion process and then the application of particle filters. Perhaps the state-of-the-art method for moderate dimensional problems is the multilevel particle filter of \cite{mlpf}. This is a method that combines multilevel Monte Carlo and particle filters. The approach in that article is based intrinsically upon an Euler discretization method. We develop a new particle filter based upon the antithetic truncated Milstein scheme of \cite{ml_anti}. We show that for a class of diffusion problems, for $ε>0$ given, that the cost to produce a mean square error (MSE) in estimation of the filter, of $\mathcal{O}(ε^2)$ is $\mathcal{O}(ε^{-2}\log(ε)^2)$. In the case of multidimensional diffusions with non-constant diffusion coefficient, the method of \cite{mlpf} has a cost of $\mathcal{O}(ε^{-2.5})$ to achieve the same MSE. We support our theory with numerical results in several examples.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2301_12371
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Antithetic Multilevel Particle Filters
Jasra, Ajay
Maama, Mohamed
Ombao, Hernando
Numerical Analysis
Computation
In this paper we consider the filtering of partially observed multi-dimensional diffusion processes that are observed regularly at discrete times. This is a challenging problem which requires the use of advanced numerical schemes based upon time-discretization of the diffusion process and then the application of particle filters. Perhaps the state-of-the-art method for moderate dimensional problems is the multilevel particle filter of \cite{mlpf}. This is a method that combines multilevel Monte Carlo and particle filters. The approach in that article is based intrinsically upon an Euler discretization method. We develop a new particle filter based upon the antithetic truncated Milstein scheme of \cite{ml_anti}. We show that for a class of diffusion problems, for $ε>0$ given, that the cost to produce a mean square error (MSE) in estimation of the filter, of $\mathcal{O}(ε^2)$ is $\mathcal{O}(ε^{-2}\log(ε)^2)$. In the case of multidimensional diffusions with non-constant diffusion coefficient, the method of \cite{mlpf} has a cost of $\mathcal{O}(ε^{-2.5})$ to achieve the same MSE. We support our theory with numerical results in several examples.
title Antithetic Multilevel Particle Filters
topic Numerical Analysis
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.12371