On time-consistent equilibrium stopping under aggregation of diverse discount rates

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Auteurs principaux: Deng, Shuoqing, Yu, Xiang, Zhang, Jiacheng
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2023
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author Deng, Shuoqing
Yu, Xiang
Zhang, Jiacheng
author_facet Deng, Shuoqing
Yu, Xiang
Zhang, Jiacheng
contents This paper studies a central planner's decision making on behalf of a group of members with diverse discount rates. In the context of optimal stopping, we work with an aggregation preference to incorporate all discount rates via an attitude function that reflects the aggregation rule chosen by the central planner. The problem formulation is also applicable to single agent's stopping problem with uncertain discount rate, where our aggregation preference coincides with the conventional smooth ambiguity preference. The resulting optimal stopping problem is time inconsistent, for which we develop an iterative approach using consistent planning and characterize all time-consistent mild equilibria as fixed points of an operator in the setting of one-dimensional diffusion processes. We provide some sufficient conditions on the underlying models and the attitude function such that the smallest mild equilibrium attains the optimal equilibrium. In addition, we show that the optimal equilibrium is a weak equilibrium. When the sufficient condition of the attitude function is violated, we illustrate by various examples that the characterization of the optimal equilibrium may differ significantly from some existing results for a single agent, which now sensitively depends on the attitude function and the diversity distribution of discount rates within the group.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2302_07470
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle On time-consistent equilibrium stopping under aggregation of diverse discount rates
Deng, Shuoqing
Yu, Xiang
Zhang, Jiacheng
Mathematical Finance
Optimization and Control
60G40, 91B10, 91B14, 91A15
This paper studies a central planner's decision making on behalf of a group of members with diverse discount rates. In the context of optimal stopping, we work with an aggregation preference to incorporate all discount rates via an attitude function that reflects the aggregation rule chosen by the central planner. The problem formulation is also applicable to single agent's stopping problem with uncertain discount rate, where our aggregation preference coincides with the conventional smooth ambiguity preference. The resulting optimal stopping problem is time inconsistent, for which we develop an iterative approach using consistent planning and characterize all time-consistent mild equilibria as fixed points of an operator in the setting of one-dimensional diffusion processes. We provide some sufficient conditions on the underlying models and the attitude function such that the smallest mild equilibrium attains the optimal equilibrium. In addition, we show that the optimal equilibrium is a weak equilibrium. When the sufficient condition of the attitude function is violated, we illustrate by various examples that the characterization of the optimal equilibrium may differ significantly from some existing results for a single agent, which now sensitively depends on the attitude function and the diversity distribution of discount rates within the group.
title On time-consistent equilibrium stopping under aggregation of diverse discount rates
topic Mathematical Finance
Optimization and Control
60G40, 91B10, 91B14, 91A15
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.07470