Local Causal Discovery for Estimating Causal Effects

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Gupta, Shantanu, Childers, David, Lipton, Zachary C.
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2023
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author Gupta, Shantanu
Childers, David
Lipton, Zachary C.
author_facet Gupta, Shantanu
Childers, David
Lipton, Zachary C.
contents Even when the causal graph underlying our data is unknown, we can use observational data to narrow down the possible values that an average treatment effect (ATE) can take by (1) identifying the graph up to a Markov equivalence class; and (2) estimating that ATE for each graph in the class. While the PC algorithm can identify this class under strong faithfulness assumptions, it can be computationally prohibitive. Fortunately, only the local graph structure around the treatment is required to identify the set of possible ATE values, a fact exploited by local discovery algorithms to improve computational efficiency. In this paper, we introduce Local Discovery using Eager Collider Checks (LDECC), a new local causal discovery algorithm that leverages unshielded colliders to orient the treatment's parents differently from existing methods. We show that there exist graphs where LDECC exponentially outperforms existing local discovery algorithms and vice versa. Moreover, we show that LDECC and existing algorithms rely on different faithfulness assumptions, leveraging this insight to weaken the assumptions for identifying the set of possible ATE values.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2302_08070
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Local Causal Discovery for Estimating Causal Effects
Gupta, Shantanu
Childers, David
Lipton, Zachary C.
Machine Learning
Methodology
Even when the causal graph underlying our data is unknown, we can use observational data to narrow down the possible values that an average treatment effect (ATE) can take by (1) identifying the graph up to a Markov equivalence class; and (2) estimating that ATE for each graph in the class. While the PC algorithm can identify this class under strong faithfulness assumptions, it can be computationally prohibitive. Fortunately, only the local graph structure around the treatment is required to identify the set of possible ATE values, a fact exploited by local discovery algorithms to improve computational efficiency. In this paper, we introduce Local Discovery using Eager Collider Checks (LDECC), a new local causal discovery algorithm that leverages unshielded colliders to orient the treatment's parents differently from existing methods. We show that there exist graphs where LDECC exponentially outperforms existing local discovery algorithms and vice versa. Moreover, we show that LDECC and existing algorithms rely on different faithfulness assumptions, leveraging this insight to weaken the assumptions for identifying the set of possible ATE values.
title Local Causal Discovery for Estimating Causal Effects
topic Machine Learning
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.08070