Active learning for structural reliability analysis with multiple limit state functions through variance-enhanced PC-Kriging surrogate models

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: A., J. Moran, Morato, P. G., Rigo, P.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author A., J. Moran
Morato, P. G.
Rigo, P.
author_facet A., J. Moran
Morato, P. G.
Rigo, P.
contents Existing active strategies for training surrogate models yield accurate structural reliability estimates by aiming at design space regions in the vicinity of a specified limit state function. In many practical engineering applications, various damage conditions, e.g. repair, failure, should be probabilistically characterized, thus demanding the estimation of multiple performance functions. In this work, we investigate the capability of active learning approaches for efficiently selecting training samples under a limited computational budget while still preserving the accuracy associated with multiple surrogated limit states. Specifically, PC-Kriging-based surrogate models are actively trained considering a variance correction derived from leave-one-out cross-validation error information, whereas the sequential learning scheme relies on U-function-derived metrics. The proposed active learning approaches are tested in a highly nonlinear structural reliability setting, whereas in a more practical application, failure and repair events are stochastically predicted in the aftermath of a ship collision against an offshore wind substructure. The results show that a balanced computational budget administration can be effectively achieved by successively targeting the specified multiple limit state functions within a unified active learning scheme.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2302_12074
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Active learning for structural reliability analysis with multiple limit state functions through variance-enhanced PC-Kriging surrogate models
A., J. Moran
Morato, P. G.
Rigo, P.
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Applications
Computation
Existing active strategies for training surrogate models yield accurate structural reliability estimates by aiming at design space regions in the vicinity of a specified limit state function. In many practical engineering applications, various damage conditions, e.g. repair, failure, should be probabilistically characterized, thus demanding the estimation of multiple performance functions. In this work, we investigate the capability of active learning approaches for efficiently selecting training samples under a limited computational budget while still preserving the accuracy associated with multiple surrogated limit states. Specifically, PC-Kriging-based surrogate models are actively trained considering a variance correction derived from leave-one-out cross-validation error information, whereas the sequential learning scheme relies on U-function-derived metrics. The proposed active learning approaches are tested in a highly nonlinear structural reliability setting, whereas in a more practical application, failure and repair events are stochastically predicted in the aftermath of a ship collision against an offshore wind substructure. The results show that a balanced computational budget administration can be effectively achieved by successively targeting the specified multiple limit state functions within a unified active learning scheme.
title Active learning for structural reliability analysis with multiple limit state functions through variance-enhanced PC-Kriging surrogate models
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Applications
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.12074