Performance is not enough: the story told by a Rashomon quartet

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Biecek, Przemyslaw, Baniecki, Hubert, Krzyzinski, Mateusz, Cook, Dianne
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2023
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author Biecek, Przemyslaw
Baniecki, Hubert
Krzyzinski, Mateusz
Cook, Dianne
author_facet Biecek, Przemyslaw
Baniecki, Hubert
Krzyzinski, Mateusz
Cook, Dianne
contents The usual goal of supervised learning is to find the best model, the one that optimizes a particular performance measure. However, what if the explanation provided by this model is completely different from another model and different again from another model despite all having similarly good fit statistics? Is it possible that the equally effective models put the spotlight on different relationships in the data? Inspired by Anscombe's quartet, this paper introduces a Rashomon Quartet, i.e. a set of four models built on a synthetic dataset which have practically identical predictive performance. However, the visual exploration reveals distinct explanations of the relations in the data. This illustrative example aims to encourage the use of methods for model visualization to compare predictive models beyond their performance.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2302_13356
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Performance is not enough: the story told by a Rashomon quartet
Biecek, Przemyslaw
Baniecki, Hubert
Krzyzinski, Mateusz
Cook, Dianne
Machine Learning
Applications
The usual goal of supervised learning is to find the best model, the one that optimizes a particular performance measure. However, what if the explanation provided by this model is completely different from another model and different again from another model despite all having similarly good fit statistics? Is it possible that the equally effective models put the spotlight on different relationships in the data? Inspired by Anscombe's quartet, this paper introduces a Rashomon Quartet, i.e. a set of four models built on a synthetic dataset which have practically identical predictive performance. However, the visual exploration reveals distinct explanations of the relations in the data. This illustrative example aims to encourage the use of methods for model visualization to compare predictive models beyond their performance.
title Performance is not enough: the story told by a Rashomon quartet
topic Machine Learning
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.13356