Semi-parametric inference based on adaptively collected data

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Lin, Licong, Khamaru, Koulik, Wainwright, Martin J.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Lin, Licong
Khamaru, Koulik
Wainwright, Martin J.
author_facet Lin, Licong
Khamaru, Koulik
Wainwright, Martin J.
contents Many standard estimators, when applied to adaptively collected data, fail to be asymptotically normal, thereby complicating the construction of confidence intervals. We address this challenge in a semi-parametric context: estimating the parameter vector of a generalized linear regression model contaminated by a non-parametric nuisance component. We construct suitably weighted estimating equations that account for adaptivity in data collection, and provide conditions under which the associated estimates are asymptotically normal. Our results characterize the degree of "explorability" required for asymptotic normality to hold. For the simpler problem of estimating a linear functional, we provide similar guarantees under much weaker assumptions. We illustrate our general theory with concrete consequences for various problems, including standard linear bandits and sparse generalized bandits, and compare with other methods via simulation studies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2303_02534
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Semi-parametric inference based on adaptively collected data
Lin, Licong
Khamaru, Koulik
Wainwright, Martin J.
Statistics Theory
Machine Learning
Methodology
Many standard estimators, when applied to adaptively collected data, fail to be asymptotically normal, thereby complicating the construction of confidence intervals. We address this challenge in a semi-parametric context: estimating the parameter vector of a generalized linear regression model contaminated by a non-parametric nuisance component. We construct suitably weighted estimating equations that account for adaptivity in data collection, and provide conditions under which the associated estimates are asymptotically normal. Our results characterize the degree of "explorability" required for asymptotic normality to hold. For the simpler problem of estimating a linear functional, we provide similar guarantees under much weaker assumptions. We illustrate our general theory with concrete consequences for various problems, including standard linear bandits and sparse generalized bandits, and compare with other methods via simulation studies.
title Semi-parametric inference based on adaptively collected data
topic Statistics Theory
Machine Learning
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.02534