FinXABSA: Explainable Finance through Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Ong, Keane, van der Heever, Wihan, Satapathy, Ranjan, Cambria, Erik, Mengaldo, Gianmarco
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2023
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author Ong, Keane
van der Heever, Wihan
Satapathy, Ranjan
Cambria, Erik
Mengaldo, Gianmarco
author_facet Ong, Keane
van der Heever, Wihan
Satapathy, Ranjan
Cambria, Erik
Mengaldo, Gianmarco
contents This paper presents a novel approach for explainability in financial analysis by deriving financially-explainable statistical relationships through aspect-based sentiment analysis, Pearson correlation, Granger causality & uncertainty coefficient. The proposed methodology involves constructing an aspect list from financial literature and applying aspect-based sentiment analysis on social media text to compute sentiment scores for each aspect. Pearson correlation is then applied to uncover financially explainable relationships between aspect sentiment scores and stock prices. Findings for derived relationships are made robust by applying Granger causality to determine the forecasting ability of each aspect sentiment score for stock prices. Finally, an added layer of interpretability is added by evaluating uncertainty coefficient scores between aspect sentiment scores and stock prices. This allows us to determine the aspects whose sentiment scores are most statistically significant for stock prices. Relative to other methods, our approach provides a more informative and accurate understanding of the relationship between sentiment analysis and stock prices. Specifically, this methodology enables an interpretation of the statistical relationship between aspect-based sentiment scores and stock prices, which offers explainability to AI-driven financial decision-making.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2303_02563
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle FinXABSA: Explainable Finance through Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis
Ong, Keane
van der Heever, Wihan
Satapathy, Ranjan
Cambria, Erik
Mengaldo, Gianmarco
Computation and Language
This paper presents a novel approach for explainability in financial analysis by deriving financially-explainable statistical relationships through aspect-based sentiment analysis, Pearson correlation, Granger causality & uncertainty coefficient. The proposed methodology involves constructing an aspect list from financial literature and applying aspect-based sentiment analysis on social media text to compute sentiment scores for each aspect. Pearson correlation is then applied to uncover financially explainable relationships between aspect sentiment scores and stock prices. Findings for derived relationships are made robust by applying Granger causality to determine the forecasting ability of each aspect sentiment score for stock prices. Finally, an added layer of interpretability is added by evaluating uncertainty coefficient scores between aspect sentiment scores and stock prices. This allows us to determine the aspects whose sentiment scores are most statistically significant for stock prices. Relative to other methods, our approach provides a more informative and accurate understanding of the relationship between sentiment analysis and stock prices. Specifically, this methodology enables an interpretation of the statistical relationship between aspect-based sentiment scores and stock prices, which offers explainability to AI-driven financial decision-making.
title FinXABSA: Explainable Finance through Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis
topic Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.02563