Extremes in High Dimensions: Methods and Scalable Algorithms

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Lederer, Johannes, Oesting, Marco
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Lederer, Johannes
Oesting, Marco
author_facet Lederer, Johannes
Oesting, Marco
contents Extreme value theory for univariate and low-dimensional observations has been explored in considerable detail, but the field is still in an early stage regarding high-dimensional settings. This paper focuses on Hüsler-Reiss models, a popular class of models for multivariate extremes similar to multivariate Gaussian distributions, and their domain of attraction. We develop estimators for the model parameters based on score matching, and we equip these estimators with theories and exceptionally scalable algorithms. Simulations and applications to weather extremes demonstrate the fact that the estimators can estimate a large number of parameters reliably and fast; for example, we show that Hüsler-Reiss models with thousands of parameters can be fitted within a couple of minutes on a standard laptop. More generally speaking, our work relates extreme value theory to modern concepts of high-dimensional statistics and convex optimization.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2303_04258
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Extremes in High Dimensions: Methods and Scalable Algorithms
Lederer, Johannes
Oesting, Marco
Methodology
Statistics Theory
Extreme value theory for univariate and low-dimensional observations has been explored in considerable detail, but the field is still in an early stage regarding high-dimensional settings. This paper focuses on Hüsler-Reiss models, a popular class of models for multivariate extremes similar to multivariate Gaussian distributions, and their domain of attraction. We develop estimators for the model parameters based on score matching, and we equip these estimators with theories and exceptionally scalable algorithms. Simulations and applications to weather extremes demonstrate the fact that the estimators can estimate a large number of parameters reliably and fast; for example, we show that Hüsler-Reiss models with thousands of parameters can be fitted within a couple of minutes on a standard laptop. More generally speaking, our work relates extreme value theory to modern concepts of high-dimensional statistics and convex optimization.
title Extremes in High Dimensions: Methods and Scalable Algorithms
topic Methodology
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.04258