Unbiased likelihood estimation of Wright-Fisher diffusion processes

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: García-Pareja, Celia, Nobile, Fabio
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author García-Pareja, Celia
Nobile, Fabio
author_facet García-Pareja, Celia
Nobile, Fabio
contents In this paper we propose a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation strategy for discretely observed Wright-Fisher diffusions. Our approach provides an unbiased estimator of the likelihood function and is based on exact simulation techniques that are of special interest for diffusion processes defined on a bounded domain, where numerical methods typically fail to remain within the required boundaries. We start by building unbiased likelihood estimators for scalar diffusions and later present an extension to the multidimensional case. Consistency results of our proposed estimator are also presented and the performance of our method is illustrated through numerical examples.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2303_05390
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Unbiased likelihood estimation of Wright-Fisher diffusion processes
García-Pareja, Celia
Nobile, Fabio
Statistics Theory
Populations and Evolution
60J60, 62M05, 65C30, 65C05
In this paper we propose a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation strategy for discretely observed Wright-Fisher diffusions. Our approach provides an unbiased estimator of the likelihood function and is based on exact simulation techniques that are of special interest for diffusion processes defined on a bounded domain, where numerical methods typically fail to remain within the required boundaries. We start by building unbiased likelihood estimators for scalar diffusions and later present an extension to the multidimensional case. Consistency results of our proposed estimator are also presented and the performance of our method is illustrated through numerical examples.
title Unbiased likelihood estimation of Wright-Fisher diffusion processes
topic Statistics Theory
Populations and Evolution
60J60, 62M05, 65C30, 65C05
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.05390