Identification- and many moment-robust inference via invariant moment conditions

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Boot, Tom, Ligtenberg, Johannes W.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Boot, Tom
Ligtenberg, Johannes W.
author_facet Boot, Tom
Ligtenberg, Johannes W.
contents Identification-robust hypothesis tests are commonly based on the continuous updating GMM objective function. When the number of moment conditions grows proportionally with the sample size, the large-dimensional weighting matrix prohibits the use of conventional asymptotic approximations and the behavior of these tests remains unknown. We show that the structure of the weighting matrix opens up an alternative route to asymptotic results when, under the null hypothesis, the distribution of the moment conditions satisfies a symmetry condition known as reflection invariance. We provide several examples in which the invariance follows from standard assumptions. Our results show that existing tests will be asymptotically conservative, and we propose an adjustment to attain nominal size in large samples. We illustrate our findings through simulations for various linear and nonlinear models, and an empirical application on the effect of the concentration of financial activities in banks on systemic risk.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2303_07822
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Identification- and many moment-robust inference via invariant moment conditions
Boot, Tom
Ligtenberg, Johannes W.
Econometrics
Identification-robust hypothesis tests are commonly based on the continuous updating GMM objective function. When the number of moment conditions grows proportionally with the sample size, the large-dimensional weighting matrix prohibits the use of conventional asymptotic approximations and the behavior of these tests remains unknown. We show that the structure of the weighting matrix opens up an alternative route to asymptotic results when, under the null hypothesis, the distribution of the moment conditions satisfies a symmetry condition known as reflection invariance. We provide several examples in which the invariance follows from standard assumptions. Our results show that existing tests will be asymptotically conservative, and we propose an adjustment to attain nominal size in large samples. We illustrate our findings through simulations for various linear and nonlinear models, and an empirical application on the effect of the concentration of financial activities in banks on systemic risk.
title Identification- and many moment-robust inference via invariant moment conditions
topic Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.07822