Asymptotic Expansions for High-Frequency Option Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Chong, Carsten H., Todorov, Viktor
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Chong, Carsten H.
Todorov, Viktor
author_facet Chong, Carsten H.
Todorov, Viktor
contents We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of Itô semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of the increment of the underlying process and the time gap between evaluating the conditional characteristic function are shrinking. The spot semimartingale characteristics of the underlying process as well as their spot semimartingale characteristics appear as leading terms in the derived asymptotic expansions. The analysis applies to a general class of Itô semimartingales that includes in particular Lévy-driven SDEs and time-changed Lévy processes. The asymptotic expansion results are subsequently used to construct a test for whether volatility jumps are of finite or infinite variation. In an application to high-frequency data of options written on the S\&P 500 index, we find evidence for infinite variation volatility jumps.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2304_12450
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Asymptotic Expansions for High-Frequency Option Data
Chong, Carsten H.
Todorov, Viktor
Statistical Finance
Probability
Mathematical Finance
60E10, 60G48, 62M99, 62P20
We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of Itô semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of the increment of the underlying process and the time gap between evaluating the conditional characteristic function are shrinking. The spot semimartingale characteristics of the underlying process as well as their spot semimartingale characteristics appear as leading terms in the derived asymptotic expansions. The analysis applies to a general class of Itô semimartingales that includes in particular Lévy-driven SDEs and time-changed Lévy processes. The asymptotic expansion results are subsequently used to construct a test for whether volatility jumps are of finite or infinite variation. In an application to high-frequency data of options written on the S\&P 500 index, we find evidence for infinite variation volatility jumps.
title Asymptotic Expansions for High-Frequency Option Data
topic Statistical Finance
Probability
Mathematical Finance
60E10, 60G48, 62M99, 62P20
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.12450