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Autores principales: Caponera, Alessia, Marinucci, Domenico, Vidotto, Anna
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2023
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Acceso en línea:https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.01392
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author Caponera, Alessia
Marinucci, Domenico
Vidotto, Anna
author_facet Caponera, Alessia
Marinucci, Domenico
Vidotto, Anna
contents This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of structural break tests in the harmonic domain for time dependent spherical random fields. In particular, we prove a functional central limit theorem result for the fluctuations over time of the sample spherical harmonic coefficients, under the null of isotropy and stationarity; furthermore, we prove consistency of the corresponding CUSUM test, under a broad range of alternatives, including deterministic trend, abrupt change, and a nontrivial power alternative. Our results are then applied to NCEP data on global temperature: our estimates suggest that Climate Change does not simply affect global average temperatures, but also the nature of spatial fluctuations at different scales.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2305_01392
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Multi-Scale CUSUM Tests for Time Dependent Spherical Random Fields
Caponera, Alessia
Marinucci, Domenico
Vidotto, Anna
Statistics Theory
Methodology
This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of structural break tests in the harmonic domain for time dependent spherical random fields. In particular, we prove a functional central limit theorem result for the fluctuations over time of the sample spherical harmonic coefficients, under the null of isotropy and stationarity; furthermore, we prove consistency of the corresponding CUSUM test, under a broad range of alternatives, including deterministic trend, abrupt change, and a nontrivial power alternative. Our results are then applied to NCEP data on global temperature: our estimates suggest that Climate Change does not simply affect global average temperatures, but also the nature of spatial fluctuations at different scales.
title Multi-Scale CUSUM Tests for Time Dependent Spherical Random Fields
topic Statistics Theory
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.01392