Large Global Volatility Matrix Analysis Based on Observation Structural Information

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Choi, Sung Hoon, Kim, Donggyu
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2023
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author Choi, Sung Hoon
Kim, Donggyu
author_facet Choi, Sung Hoon
Kim, Donggyu
contents In this paper, we develop a novel large volatility matrix estimation procedure for analyzing global financial markets. Practitioners often use lower-frequency data, such as weekly or monthly returns, to address the issue of different trading hours in the international financial market. However, this approach can lead to inefficiency due to information loss. To mitigate this problem, our proposed method, called Structured Principal Orthogonal complEment Thresholding (Structured-POET), incorporates observation structural information for both global and national factor models. We establish the asymptotic properties of the Structured-POET estimator, and also demonstrate the drawbacks of conventional covariance matrix estimation procedures when using lower-frequency data. Finally, we apply the Structured-POET estimator to an out-of-sample portfolio allocation study using international stock market data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2305_01464
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Large Global Volatility Matrix Analysis Based on Observation Structural Information
Choi, Sung Hoon
Kim, Donggyu
Econometrics
In this paper, we develop a novel large volatility matrix estimation procedure for analyzing global financial markets. Practitioners often use lower-frequency data, such as weekly or monthly returns, to address the issue of different trading hours in the international financial market. However, this approach can lead to inefficiency due to information loss. To mitigate this problem, our proposed method, called Structured Principal Orthogonal complEment Thresholding (Structured-POET), incorporates observation structural information for both global and national factor models. We establish the asymptotic properties of the Structured-POET estimator, and also demonstrate the drawbacks of conventional covariance matrix estimation procedures when using lower-frequency data. Finally, we apply the Structured-POET estimator to an out-of-sample portfolio allocation study using international stock market data.
title Large Global Volatility Matrix Analysis Based on Observation Structural Information
topic Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.01464