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Main Authors: Ma, Xiaoran, Guo, Wensheng, Gu, Mengyang, Usvyat, Len, Kotanko, Peter, Wang, Yuedong
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.04140
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author Ma, Xiaoran
Guo, Wensheng
Gu, Mengyang
Usvyat, Len
Kotanko, Peter
Wang, Yuedong
author_facet Ma, Xiaoran
Guo, Wensheng
Gu, Mengyang
Usvyat, Len
Kotanko, Peter
Wang, Yuedong
contents Some patients with COVID-19 show changes in signs and symptoms such as temperature and oxygen saturation days before being positively tested for SARS-CoV-2, while others remain asymptomatic. It is important to identify these subgroups and to understand what biological and clinical predictors are related to these subgroups. This information will provide insights into how the immune system may respond differently to infection and can further be used to identify infected individuals. We propose a flexible nonparametric mixed-effects mixture model that identifies risk factors and classifies patients with biological changes. We model the latent probability of biological changes using a logistic regression model and trajectories in the latent groups using smoothing splines. We developed an EM algorithm to maximize the penalized likelihood for estimating all parameters and mean functions. We evaluate our methods by simulations and apply the proposed model to investigate changes in temperature in a cohort of COVID-19-infected hemodialysis patients.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2305_04140
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Nonparametric Mixed-Effects Mixture Model for Patterns of Clinical Measurements Associated with COVID-19
Ma, Xiaoran
Guo, Wensheng
Gu, Mengyang
Usvyat, Len
Kotanko, Peter
Wang, Yuedong
Methodology
Some patients with COVID-19 show changes in signs and symptoms such as temperature and oxygen saturation days before being positively tested for SARS-CoV-2, while others remain asymptomatic. It is important to identify these subgroups and to understand what biological and clinical predictors are related to these subgroups. This information will provide insights into how the immune system may respond differently to infection and can further be used to identify infected individuals. We propose a flexible nonparametric mixed-effects mixture model that identifies risk factors and classifies patients with biological changes. We model the latent probability of biological changes using a logistic regression model and trajectories in the latent groups using smoothing splines. We developed an EM algorithm to maximize the penalized likelihood for estimating all parameters and mean functions. We evaluate our methods by simulations and apply the proposed model to investigate changes in temperature in a cohort of COVID-19-infected hemodialysis patients.
title A Nonparametric Mixed-Effects Mixture Model for Patterns of Clinical Measurements Associated with COVID-19
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.04140