Elastic Bayesian Model Calibration

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Francom, Devin, Tucker, J. Derek, Huerta, Gabriel, Shuler, Kurtis, Ries, Daniel
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Francom, Devin
Tucker, J. Derek
Huerta, Gabriel
Shuler, Kurtis
Ries, Daniel
author_facet Francom, Devin
Tucker, J. Derek
Huerta, Gabriel
Shuler, Kurtis
Ries, Daniel
contents Functional data are ubiquitous in scientific modeling. For instance, quantities of interest are modeled as functions of time, space, energy, density, etc. Uncertainty quantification methods for computer models with functional response have resulted in tools for emulation, sensitivity analysis, and calibration that are widely used. However, many of these tools do not perform well when the computer model's parameters control both the amplitude variation of the functional output and its alignment (or phase variation). This paper introduces a framework for Bayesian model calibration when the model responses are misaligned functional data. The approach generates two types of data out of the misaligned functional responses: (1) aligned functions so that the amplitude variation is isolated and (2) warping functions that isolate the phase variation. These two types of data are created for the computer simulation data (both of which may be emulated) and the experimental data. The calibration approach uses both types so that it seeks to match both the amplitude and phase of the experimental data. The framework is careful to respect constraints that arise especially when modeling phase variation, and is framed in a way that it can be done with readily available calibration software. We demonstrate the techniques on two simulated data examples and on two dynamic material science problems: a strength model calibration using flyer plate experiments and an equation of state model calibration using experiments performed on the Sandia National Laboratories' Z-machine.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2305_08834
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Elastic Bayesian Model Calibration
Francom, Devin
Tucker, J. Derek
Huerta, Gabriel
Shuler, Kurtis
Ries, Daniel
Methodology
Applications
Functional data are ubiquitous in scientific modeling. For instance, quantities of interest are modeled as functions of time, space, energy, density, etc. Uncertainty quantification methods for computer models with functional response have resulted in tools for emulation, sensitivity analysis, and calibration that are widely used. However, many of these tools do not perform well when the computer model's parameters control both the amplitude variation of the functional output and its alignment (or phase variation). This paper introduces a framework for Bayesian model calibration when the model responses are misaligned functional data. The approach generates two types of data out of the misaligned functional responses: (1) aligned functions so that the amplitude variation is isolated and (2) warping functions that isolate the phase variation. These two types of data are created for the computer simulation data (both of which may be emulated) and the experimental data. The calibration approach uses both types so that it seeks to match both the amplitude and phase of the experimental data. The framework is careful to respect constraints that arise especially when modeling phase variation, and is framed in a way that it can be done with readily available calibration software. We demonstrate the techniques on two simulated data examples and on two dynamic material science problems: a strength model calibration using flyer plate experiments and an equation of state model calibration using experiments performed on the Sandia National Laboratories' Z-machine.
title Elastic Bayesian Model Calibration
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.08834