Wasserstein Gaussianization and Efficient Variational Bayes for Robust Bayesian Synthetic Likelihood

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Nguyen, Nhat-Minh, Tran, Minh-Ngoc, Drovandi, Christopher, Nott, David
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Nguyen, Nhat-Minh
Tran, Minh-Ngoc
Drovandi, Christopher
Nott, David
author_facet Nguyen, Nhat-Minh
Tran, Minh-Ngoc
Drovandi, Christopher
Nott, David
contents The Bayesian Synthetic Likelihood (BSL) method is a widely-used tool for likelihood-free Bayesian inference. This method assumes that some summary statistics are normally distributed, which can be incorrect in many applications. We propose a transformation, called the Wasserstein Gaussianization transformation, that uses a Wasserstein gradient flow to approximately transform the distribution of the summary statistics into a Gaussian distribution. BSL also implicitly requires compatibility between simulated summary statistics under the working model and the observed summary statistics. A robust BSL variant which achieves this has been developed in the recent literature. We combine the Wasserstein Gaussianization transformation with robust BSL, and an efficient Variational Bayes procedure for posterior approximation, to develop a highly efficient and reliable approximate Bayesian inference method for likelihood-free problems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2305_14746
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Wasserstein Gaussianization and Efficient Variational Bayes for Robust Bayesian Synthetic Likelihood
Nguyen, Nhat-Minh
Tran, Minh-Ngoc
Drovandi, Christopher
Nott, David
Computation
Machine Learning
The Bayesian Synthetic Likelihood (BSL) method is a widely-used tool for likelihood-free Bayesian inference. This method assumes that some summary statistics are normally distributed, which can be incorrect in many applications. We propose a transformation, called the Wasserstein Gaussianization transformation, that uses a Wasserstein gradient flow to approximately transform the distribution of the summary statistics into a Gaussian distribution. BSL also implicitly requires compatibility between simulated summary statistics under the working model and the observed summary statistics. A robust BSL variant which achieves this has been developed in the recent literature. We combine the Wasserstein Gaussianization transformation with robust BSL, and an efficient Variational Bayes procedure for posterior approximation, to develop a highly efficient and reliable approximate Bayesian inference method for likelihood-free problems.
title Wasserstein Gaussianization and Efficient Variational Bayes for Robust Bayesian Synthetic Likelihood
topic Computation
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.14746