Bayesian Analysis for Over-parameterized Linear Model via Effective Spectra

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Wakayama, Tomoya, Imaizumi, Masaaki
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Wakayama, Tomoya
Imaizumi, Masaaki
author_facet Wakayama, Tomoya
Imaizumi, Masaaki
contents In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the covariate matrix, which can be crucial when true signals are not sparse. To address this gap, we introduce a data-adaptive Gaussian prior whose covariance is aligned with the leading eigenvectors of the sample covariance. This prior design targets the data's intrinsic complexity rather than its ambient dimension by concentrating the parameter search along principal data directions. We establish contraction rates of the corresponding posterior distribution, which reveal how the mass in the spectrum affects the prediction error bounds. Furthermore, we derive a truncated Gaussian approximation to the posterior (i.e., a Bernstein-von Mises-type result), which allows for uncertainty quantification with a reduced computational burden. Our findings demonstrate that Bayesian methods leveraging spectral information of the data are effective for estimation in non-sparse, high-dimensional settings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2305_15754
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian Analysis for Over-parameterized Linear Model via Effective Spectra
Wakayama, Tomoya
Imaizumi, Masaaki
Statistics Theory
Methodology
Machine Learning
In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the covariate matrix, which can be crucial when true signals are not sparse. To address this gap, we introduce a data-adaptive Gaussian prior whose covariance is aligned with the leading eigenvectors of the sample covariance. This prior design targets the data's intrinsic complexity rather than its ambient dimension by concentrating the parameter search along principal data directions. We establish contraction rates of the corresponding posterior distribution, which reveal how the mass in the spectrum affects the prediction error bounds. Furthermore, we derive a truncated Gaussian approximation to the posterior (i.e., a Bernstein-von Mises-type result), which allows for uncertainty quantification with a reduced computational burden. Our findings demonstrate that Bayesian methods leveraging spectral information of the data are effective for estimation in non-sparse, high-dimensional settings.
title Bayesian Analysis for Over-parameterized Linear Model via Effective Spectra
topic Statistics Theory
Methodology
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.15754