Truly Multivariate Structured Additive Distributional Regression

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Kock, Lucas, Klein, Nadja
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2023
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author Kock, Lucas
Klein, Nadja
author_facet Kock, Lucas
Klein, Nadja
contents Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) are a popular extension to mean regression models where each parameter of an arbitrary distribution is modelled through covariates. While such models have been developed for univariate and bivariate responses, the truly multivariate case remains extremely challenging for both computational and theoretical reasons. Alternative approaches to GAMLSS may allow for higher dimensional response vectors to be modelled jointly but often assume a fixed dependence structure not depending on covariates or are limited with respect to modelling flexibility or computational aspects. We contribute to this gap in the literature and propose a truly multivariate distributional model, which allows one to benefit from the flexibility of GAMLSS even when the response has dimension larger than two or three. Building on copula regression, we model the dependence structure of the response through a Gaussian copula, while the marginal distributions can vary across components. Our model is highly parameterized but estimation becomes feasible with Bayesian inference employing shrinkage priors. We demonstrate the competitiveness of our approach in a simulation study and illustrate how it complements existing models along the examples of childhood malnutrition and a yet unexplored data set on traffic detection in Berlin.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2306_02711
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Truly Multivariate Structured Additive Distributional Regression
Kock, Lucas
Klein, Nadja
Methodology
Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) are a popular extension to mean regression models where each parameter of an arbitrary distribution is modelled through covariates. While such models have been developed for univariate and bivariate responses, the truly multivariate case remains extremely challenging for both computational and theoretical reasons. Alternative approaches to GAMLSS may allow for higher dimensional response vectors to be modelled jointly but often assume a fixed dependence structure not depending on covariates or are limited with respect to modelling flexibility or computational aspects. We contribute to this gap in the literature and propose a truly multivariate distributional model, which allows one to benefit from the flexibility of GAMLSS even when the response has dimension larger than two or three. Building on copula regression, we model the dependence structure of the response through a Gaussian copula, while the marginal distributions can vary across components. Our model is highly parameterized but estimation becomes feasible with Bayesian inference employing shrinkage priors. We demonstrate the competitiveness of our approach in a simulation study and illustrate how it complements existing models along the examples of childhood malnutrition and a yet unexplored data set on traffic detection in Berlin.
title Truly Multivariate Structured Additive Distributional Regression
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.02711