QBSD: Quartile-Based Seasonality Decomposition for Cost-Effective RAN KPI Forecasting

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Isaac, Ebenezer RHP, Singh, Bulbul
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Isaac, Ebenezer RHP
Singh, Bulbul
author_facet Isaac, Ebenezer RHP
Singh, Bulbul
contents Forecasting time series patterns, such as cell key performance indicators (KPIs) of radio access networks (RAN), plays a vital role in enhancing service quality and operational efficiency. State-of-the-art forecasting approaches prioritize accuracy at the expense of computational performance, rendering them less suitable for data-intensive applications encompassing systems with a multitude of time series variables. They also do not capture the effect of dynamic operating ranges that vary with time. To address this issue, we introduce QBSD, a live single-step forecasting approach tailored to optimize the trade-off between accuracy and computational complexity. The method has shown significant success with our real network RAN KPI datasets of over several thousand cells. In this article, we showcase the performance of QBSD in comparison to other forecasting approaches on a dataset we have made publicly available. The results demonstrate that the proposed method excels in runtime efficiency compared to the leading algorithms available while maintaining competitive forecast accuracy that rivals neural forecasting methods.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2306_05989
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle QBSD: Quartile-Based Seasonality Decomposition for Cost-Effective RAN KPI Forecasting
Isaac, Ebenezer RHP
Singh, Bulbul
Machine Learning
Forecasting time series patterns, such as cell key performance indicators (KPIs) of radio access networks (RAN), plays a vital role in enhancing service quality and operational efficiency. State-of-the-art forecasting approaches prioritize accuracy at the expense of computational performance, rendering them less suitable for data-intensive applications encompassing systems with a multitude of time series variables. They also do not capture the effect of dynamic operating ranges that vary with time. To address this issue, we introduce QBSD, a live single-step forecasting approach tailored to optimize the trade-off between accuracy and computational complexity. The method has shown significant success with our real network RAN KPI datasets of over several thousand cells. In this article, we showcase the performance of QBSD in comparison to other forecasting approaches on a dataset we have made publicly available. The results demonstrate that the proposed method excels in runtime efficiency compared to the leading algorithms available while maintaining competitive forecast accuracy that rivals neural forecasting methods.
title QBSD: Quartile-Based Seasonality Decomposition for Cost-Effective RAN KPI Forecasting
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.05989