Deep Gaussian Markov Random Fields for Graph-Structured Dynamical Systems

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Lippert, Fiona, Kranstauber, Bart, van Loon, E. Emiel, Forré, Patrick
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Lippert, Fiona
Kranstauber, Bart
van Loon, E. Emiel
Forré, Patrick
author_facet Lippert, Fiona
Kranstauber, Bart
van Loon, E. Emiel
Forré, Patrick
contents Probabilistic inference in high-dimensional state-space models is computationally challenging. For many spatiotemporal systems, however, prior knowledge about the dependency structure of state variables is available. We leverage this structure to develop a computationally efficient approach to state estimation and learning in graph-structured state-space models with (partially) unknown dynamics and limited historical data. Building on recent methods that combine ideas from deep learning with principled inference in Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRF), we reformulate graph-structured state-space models as Deep GMRFs defined by simple spatial and temporal graph layers. This results in a flexible spatiotemporal prior that can be learned efficiently from a single time sequence via variational inference. Under linear Gaussian assumptions, we retain a closed-form posterior, which can be sampled efficiently using the conjugate gradient method, scaling favourably compared to classical Kalman filter based approaches
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2306_08445
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Deep Gaussian Markov Random Fields for Graph-Structured Dynamical Systems
Lippert, Fiona
Kranstauber, Bart
van Loon, E. Emiel
Forré, Patrick
Machine Learning
Probabilistic inference in high-dimensional state-space models is computationally challenging. For many spatiotemporal systems, however, prior knowledge about the dependency structure of state variables is available. We leverage this structure to develop a computationally efficient approach to state estimation and learning in graph-structured state-space models with (partially) unknown dynamics and limited historical data. Building on recent methods that combine ideas from deep learning with principled inference in Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRF), we reformulate graph-structured state-space models as Deep GMRFs defined by simple spatial and temporal graph layers. This results in a flexible spatiotemporal prior that can be learned efficiently from a single time sequence via variational inference. Under linear Gaussian assumptions, we retain a closed-form posterior, which can be sampled efficiently using the conjugate gradient method, scaling favourably compared to classical Kalman filter based approaches
title Deep Gaussian Markov Random Fields for Graph-Structured Dynamical Systems
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.08445