Infinite horizon optimal control of a SIR epidemic under an ICU constraint

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Freddi, Lorenzo, Goreac, Dan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Freddi, Lorenzo
Goreac, Dan
author_facet Freddi, Lorenzo
Goreac, Dan
contents The aim of this paper is to provide a rigorous mathematical analysis of an optimal control problem of a SIR epidemic on an infinite horizon. A state constraint related to intensive care units (ICU) capacity is imposed and the objective functional linearly depends on the state and the control. After preliminary asymptotic and viability analyses, a $Γ$-convergence argument is developed to reduce the problem to a finite horizon allowing to use a state constrained version of Pontryagin's theorem to characterize the structure of the optimal controls. Illustrating examples and numeric simulations are given according to the available data on Covid-19 epidemic in Italy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2306_10513
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Infinite horizon optimal control of a SIR epidemic under an ICU constraint
Freddi, Lorenzo
Goreac, Dan
Optimization and Control
The aim of this paper is to provide a rigorous mathematical analysis of an optimal control problem of a SIR epidemic on an infinite horizon. A state constraint related to intensive care units (ICU) capacity is imposed and the objective functional linearly depends on the state and the control. After preliminary asymptotic and viability analyses, a $Γ$-convergence argument is developed to reduce the problem to a finite horizon allowing to use a state constrained version of Pontryagin's theorem to characterize the structure of the optimal controls. Illustrating examples and numeric simulations are given according to the available data on Covid-19 epidemic in Italy.
title Infinite horizon optimal control of a SIR epidemic under an ICU constraint
topic Optimization and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.10513