Limit theorems for signatures

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteur principal: Kifer, Yuri
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2023
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author Kifer, Yuri
author_facet Kifer, Yuri
contents We obtain strong moment invariance principles for normalized multiple iterated sums and integrals of the form $\mathbb{S}^{(ν)}(t)=N^{-ν/2}\sum_{0\leq k_1<...<k_ν\leq Nt}ξ(k_1)\otimes\cdots\otimesξ(k_ν)$, $t\in[0,T]$ and $\mathbb{S}_N^{(ν)}(t)=N^{-ν/2}\int_{0\leq s_1\leq...\leq s_ν\leq Nt}ξ(s_1)\otimes\cdots\otimesξ(s_ν)ds_1\cdots ds_ν$, where $\{ξ(k)\}_{-\infty<k<\infty}$ and $\{ξ(s)\}_{-\infty<s<\infty}$ are centered stationary vector processes with some weak dependence properties. We show, in particular, that (in both cases) the distribution of $\mathbb{S}^{(ν)}_N$ is $O(N^{-δ})$-close, $δ>0$ in the Prokhorov and the Wasserstein metrics to the distribution of certain stochastic processes $\mathbb{W}_N^{(ν)}$ constructed recursively starting from $W_N=\mathbb{W}_N^{(1)}$ which is a Brownian motion with covariances. This is done by constructing a coupling between $\mathbb{S}_N^{(1)}$ and $\mathbb{W}_N^{(1)}$, estimating directly the moment variational norm of $\mathbb{S}_N^{(ν)}-\mathbb{W}_N^{(ν)}$ for $ν=1,2$ and extending these estimates to $ν>2$ relying partially on arguments borrowed from the rough paths theory. In the continuous time we work both under direct weak dependence assumptions and also within the suspension setup which is more appropriate for applications in dynamical systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2306_13376
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Limit theorems for signatures
Kifer, Yuri
Probability
60F15
We obtain strong moment invariance principles for normalized multiple iterated sums and integrals of the form $\mathbb{S}^{(ν)}(t)=N^{-ν/2}\sum_{0\leq k_1<...<k_ν\leq Nt}ξ(k_1)\otimes\cdots\otimesξ(k_ν)$, $t\in[0,T]$ and $\mathbb{S}_N^{(ν)}(t)=N^{-ν/2}\int_{0\leq s_1\leq...\leq s_ν\leq Nt}ξ(s_1)\otimes\cdots\otimesξ(s_ν)ds_1\cdots ds_ν$, where $\{ξ(k)\}_{-\infty<k<\infty}$ and $\{ξ(s)\}_{-\infty<s<\infty}$ are centered stationary vector processes with some weak dependence properties. We show, in particular, that (in both cases) the distribution of $\mathbb{S}^{(ν)}_N$ is $O(N^{-δ})$-close, $δ>0$ in the Prokhorov and the Wasserstein metrics to the distribution of certain stochastic processes $\mathbb{W}_N^{(ν)}$ constructed recursively starting from $W_N=\mathbb{W}_N^{(1)}$ which is a Brownian motion with covariances. This is done by constructing a coupling between $\mathbb{S}_N^{(1)}$ and $\mathbb{W}_N^{(1)}$, estimating directly the moment variational norm of $\mathbb{S}_N^{(ν)}-\mathbb{W}_N^{(ν)}$ for $ν=1,2$ and extending these estimates to $ν>2$ relying partially on arguments borrowed from the rough paths theory. In the continuous time we work both under direct weak dependence assumptions and also within the suspension setup which is more appropriate for applications in dynamical systems.
title Limit theorems for signatures
topic Probability
60F15
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.13376