Unveiling the Potential of Sentiment: Can Large Language Models Predict Chinese Stock Price Movements?

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Zhang, Haohan, Hua, Fengrui, Xu, Chengjin, Kong, Hao, Zuo, Ruiting, Guo, Jian
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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_version_ 1866929334965501952
author Zhang, Haohan
Hua, Fengrui
Xu, Chengjin
Kong, Hao
Zuo, Ruiting
Guo, Jian
author_facet Zhang, Haohan
Hua, Fengrui
Xu, Chengjin
Kong, Hao
Zuo, Ruiting
Guo, Jian
contents The rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has spurred discussions about their potential to enhance quantitative trading strategies. LLMs excel in analyzing sentiments about listed companies from financial news, providing critical insights for trading decisions. However, the performance of LLMs in this task varies substantially due to their inherent characteristics. This paper introduces a standardized experimental procedure for comprehensive evaluations. We detail the methodology using three distinct LLMs, each embodying a unique approach to performance enhancement, applied specifically to the task of sentiment factor extraction from large volumes of Chinese news summaries. Subsequently, we develop quantitative trading strategies using these sentiment factors and conduct back-tests in realistic scenarios. Our results will offer perspectives about the performances of Large Language Models applied to extracting sentiments from Chinese news texts.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2306_14222
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Unveiling the Potential of Sentiment: Can Large Language Models Predict Chinese Stock Price Movements?
Zhang, Haohan
Hua, Fengrui
Xu, Chengjin
Kong, Hao
Zuo, Ruiting
Guo, Jian
Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
Statistical Finance
The rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has spurred discussions about their potential to enhance quantitative trading strategies. LLMs excel in analyzing sentiments about listed companies from financial news, providing critical insights for trading decisions. However, the performance of LLMs in this task varies substantially due to their inherent characteristics. This paper introduces a standardized experimental procedure for comprehensive evaluations. We detail the methodology using three distinct LLMs, each embodying a unique approach to performance enhancement, applied specifically to the task of sentiment factor extraction from large volumes of Chinese news summaries. Subsequently, we develop quantitative trading strategies using these sentiment factors and conduct back-tests in realistic scenarios. Our results will offer perspectives about the performances of Large Language Models applied to extracting sentiments from Chinese news texts.
title Unveiling the Potential of Sentiment: Can Large Language Models Predict Chinese Stock Price Movements?
topic Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
Statistical Finance
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.14222