Nonparametric Estimation of Large Spot Volatility Matrices for High-Frequency Financial Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Bu, Ruijun, Li, Degui, Linton, Oliver, Wang, Hanchao
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2023
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author Bu, Ruijun
Li, Degui
Linton, Oliver
Wang, Hanchao
author_facet Bu, Ruijun
Li, Degui
Linton, Oliver
Wang, Hanchao
contents In this paper, we consider estimating spot/instantaneous volatility matrices of high-frequency data collected for a large number of assets. We first combine classic nonparametric kernel-based smoothing with a generalised shrinkage technique in the matrix estimation for noise-free data under a uniform sparsity assumption, a natural extension of the approximate sparsity commonly used in the literature. The uniform consistency property is derived for the proposed spot volatility matrix estimator with convergence rates comparable to the optimal minimax one. For the high-frequency data contaminated by microstructure noise, we introduce a localised pre-averaging estimation method that reduces the effective magnitude of the noise. We then use the estimation tool developed in the noise-free scenario, and derive the uniform convergence rates for the developed spot volatility matrix estimator. We further combine the kernel smoothing with the shrinkage technique to estimate the time-varying volatility matrix of the high-dimensional noise vector. In addition, we consider large spot volatility matrix estimation in time-varying factor models with observable risk factors and derive the uniform convergence property. We provide numerical studies including simulation and empirical application to examine the performance of the proposed estimation methods in finite samples.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2307_01348
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Nonparametric Estimation of Large Spot Volatility Matrices for High-Frequency Financial Data
Bu, Ruijun
Li, Degui
Linton, Oliver
Wang, Hanchao
Econometrics
Methodology
In this paper, we consider estimating spot/instantaneous volatility matrices of high-frequency data collected for a large number of assets. We first combine classic nonparametric kernel-based smoothing with a generalised shrinkage technique in the matrix estimation for noise-free data under a uniform sparsity assumption, a natural extension of the approximate sparsity commonly used in the literature. The uniform consistency property is derived for the proposed spot volatility matrix estimator with convergence rates comparable to the optimal minimax one. For the high-frequency data contaminated by microstructure noise, we introduce a localised pre-averaging estimation method that reduces the effective magnitude of the noise. We then use the estimation tool developed in the noise-free scenario, and derive the uniform convergence rates for the developed spot volatility matrix estimator. We further combine the kernel smoothing with the shrinkage technique to estimate the time-varying volatility matrix of the high-dimensional noise vector. In addition, we consider large spot volatility matrix estimation in time-varying factor models with observable risk factors and derive the uniform convergence property. We provide numerical studies including simulation and empirical application to examine the performance of the proposed estimation methods in finite samples.
title Nonparametric Estimation of Large Spot Volatility Matrices for High-Frequency Financial Data
topic Econometrics
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.01348