Limit theorems for the site frequency spectrum of neutral mutations in an exponentially growing population

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Gunnarsson, Einar Bjarki, Leder, Kevin, Zhang, Xuanming
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2023
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author Gunnarsson, Einar Bjarki
Leder, Kevin
Zhang, Xuanming
author_facet Gunnarsson, Einar Bjarki
Leder, Kevin
Zhang, Xuanming
contents The site frequency spectrum (SFS) is a widely used summary statistic of genomic data. Motivated by recent evidence for the role of neutral evolution in cancer, we investigate the SFS of neutral mutations in an exponentially growing population. Using branching process techniques, we establish (first-order) almost sure convergence results for the SFS of a Galton-Watson process, evaluated either at a fixed time or at the stochastic time at which the population first reaches a certain size. We finally use our results to construct consistent estimators for the extinction probability and the effective mutation rate of a birth-death process.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2307_03346
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Limit theorems for the site frequency spectrum of neutral mutations in an exponentially growing population
Gunnarsson, Einar Bjarki
Leder, Kevin
Zhang, Xuanming
Probability
Populations and Evolution
60J85, 60F15, 92D25, 92B05
The site frequency spectrum (SFS) is a widely used summary statistic of genomic data. Motivated by recent evidence for the role of neutral evolution in cancer, we investigate the SFS of neutral mutations in an exponentially growing population. Using branching process techniques, we establish (first-order) almost sure convergence results for the SFS of a Galton-Watson process, evaluated either at a fixed time or at the stochastic time at which the population first reaches a certain size. We finally use our results to construct consistent estimators for the extinction probability and the effective mutation rate of a birth-death process.
title Limit theorems for the site frequency spectrum of neutral mutations in an exponentially growing population
topic Probability
Populations and Evolution
60J85, 60F15, 92D25, 92B05
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.03346