Reliable optimal controls for SEIR models in epidemiology

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Cacace, Simone, Oliviero, Alessio
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Cacace, Simone
Oliviero, Alessio
author_facet Cacace, Simone
Oliviero, Alessio
contents We present and compare two different optimal control approaches applied to SEIR models in epidemiology, which allow us to obtain some policies for controlling the spread of an epidemic. The first approach uses Dynamic Programming to characterise the value function of the problem as the solution of a partial differential equation, the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, and derive the optimal policy in feedback form. The second is based on Pontryagin's maximum principle and directly gives open-loop controls, via the solution of an optimality system of ordinary differential equations. This method, however, may not converge to the optimal solution. We propose a combination of the two methods in order to obtain high-quality and reliable solutions. Several simulations are presented and discussed, also checking first and second order necessary optimality conditions for the corresponding numerical solutions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2307_05415
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Reliable optimal controls for SEIR models in epidemiology
Cacace, Simone
Oliviero, Alessio
Optimization and Control
Numerical Analysis
We present and compare two different optimal control approaches applied to SEIR models in epidemiology, which allow us to obtain some policies for controlling the spread of an epidemic. The first approach uses Dynamic Programming to characterise the value function of the problem as the solution of a partial differential equation, the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, and derive the optimal policy in feedback form. The second is based on Pontryagin's maximum principle and directly gives open-loop controls, via the solution of an optimality system of ordinary differential equations. This method, however, may not converge to the optimal solution. We propose a combination of the two methods in order to obtain high-quality and reliable solutions. Several simulations are presented and discussed, also checking first and second order necessary optimality conditions for the corresponding numerical solutions.
title Reliable optimal controls for SEIR models in epidemiology
topic Optimization and Control
Numerical Analysis
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.05415