Change point estimation for a stochastic heat equation
Fuente:
arXiv
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| Autori principali: | , , |
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| Natura: | Preprint |
| Pubblicazione: |
2023
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| _version_ | 1866908867427827712 |
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| author | Reiß, Markus Strauch, Claudia Trottner, Lukas |
| author_facet | Reiß, Markus Strauch, Claudia Trottner, Lukas |
| contents | We study a change point model based on a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) corresponding to the heat equation governed by the weighted Laplacian $Δ_\vartheta = \nabla\vartheta\nabla$, where $\vartheta=\vartheta(x)$ is a space-dependent diffusivity. As a basic problem the domain $(0,1)$ is considered with a piecewise constant diffusivity with a jump at an unknown point $τ$. Based on local measurements of the solution in space with resolution $δ$ over a finite time horizon, we construct a simultaneous M-estimator for the diffusivity values and the change point. The change point estimator converges at rate $δ$, while the diffusivity constants can be recovered with convergence rate $δ^{3/2}$. Moreover, when the diffusivity parameters are known and the jump height vanishes with the spatial resolution tending to zero, we derive a limit theorem for the change point estimator and identify the limiting distribution. For the mathematical analysis, a precise understanding of the SPDE with discontinuous $\vartheta$, tight concentration bounds for quadratic functionals in the solution, and a generalisation of classical M-estimators are developed. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2307_10960 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Change point estimation for a stochastic heat equation Reiß, Markus Strauch, Claudia Trottner, Lukas Statistics Theory Probability 60H15, 62F12, 60F05 We study a change point model based on a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) corresponding to the heat equation governed by the weighted Laplacian $Δ_\vartheta = \nabla\vartheta\nabla$, where $\vartheta=\vartheta(x)$ is a space-dependent diffusivity. As a basic problem the domain $(0,1)$ is considered with a piecewise constant diffusivity with a jump at an unknown point $τ$. Based on local measurements of the solution in space with resolution $δ$ over a finite time horizon, we construct a simultaneous M-estimator for the diffusivity values and the change point. The change point estimator converges at rate $δ$, while the diffusivity constants can be recovered with convergence rate $δ^{3/2}$. Moreover, when the diffusivity parameters are known and the jump height vanishes with the spatial resolution tending to zero, we derive a limit theorem for the change point estimator and identify the limiting distribution. For the mathematical analysis, a precise understanding of the SPDE with discontinuous $\vartheta$, tight concentration bounds for quadratic functionals in the solution, and a generalisation of classical M-estimators are developed. |
| title | Change point estimation for a stochastic heat equation |
| topic | Statistics Theory Probability 60H15, 62F12, 60F05 |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.10960 |