Investigating Low Data, Confidence Aware Image Prediction on Smooth Repetitive Videos using Gaussian Processes

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Shinde, Nikhil U., Liang, Xiao, Richter, Florian, Yip, Michael C.
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2023
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author Shinde, Nikhil U.
Liang, Xiao
Richter, Florian
Yip, Michael C.
author_facet Shinde, Nikhil U.
Liang, Xiao
Richter, Florian
Yip, Michael C.
contents The ability to predict future states is crucial to informed decision-making while interacting with dynamic environments. With cameras providing a prevalent and information-rich sensing modality, the problem of predicting future states from image sequences has garnered a lot of attention. Current state-of-the-art methods typically train large parametric models for their predictions. Though often able to predict with accuracy these models often fail to provide interpretable confidence metrics around their predictions. Additionally these methods are reliant on the availability of large training datasets to converge to useful solutions. In this paper, we focus on the problem of predicting future images of an image sequence with interpretable confidence bounds from very little training data. To approach this problem, we use non-parametric models to take a probabilistic approach to image prediction. We generate probability distributions over sequentially predicted images, and propagate uncertainty through time to generate a confidence metric for our predictions. Gaussian Processes are used for their data efficiency and ability to readily incorporate new training data online. Our methods predictions are evaluated on a smooth fluid simulation environment. We showcase the capabilities of our approach on real world data by predicting pedestrian flows and weather patterns from satellite imagery.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2307_11259
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Investigating Low Data, Confidence Aware Image Prediction on Smooth Repetitive Videos using Gaussian Processes
Shinde, Nikhil U.
Liang, Xiao
Richter, Florian
Yip, Michael C.
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
The ability to predict future states is crucial to informed decision-making while interacting with dynamic environments. With cameras providing a prevalent and information-rich sensing modality, the problem of predicting future states from image sequences has garnered a lot of attention. Current state-of-the-art methods typically train large parametric models for their predictions. Though often able to predict with accuracy these models often fail to provide interpretable confidence metrics around their predictions. Additionally these methods are reliant on the availability of large training datasets to converge to useful solutions. In this paper, we focus on the problem of predicting future images of an image sequence with interpretable confidence bounds from very little training data. To approach this problem, we use non-parametric models to take a probabilistic approach to image prediction. We generate probability distributions over sequentially predicted images, and propagate uncertainty through time to generate a confidence metric for our predictions. Gaussian Processes are used for their data efficiency and ability to readily incorporate new training data online. Our methods predictions are evaluated on a smooth fluid simulation environment. We showcase the capabilities of our approach on real world data by predicting pedestrian flows and weather patterns from satellite imagery.
title Investigating Low Data, Confidence Aware Image Prediction on Smooth Repetitive Videos using Gaussian Processes
topic Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.11259