A model for efficient dynamical ranking in networks

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Della Vecchia, Andrea, Neocosmos, Kibidi, Larremore, Daniel B., Moore, Cristopher, De Bacco, Caterina
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2023
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author Della Vecchia, Andrea
Neocosmos, Kibidi
Larremore, Daniel B.
Moore, Cristopher
De Bacco, Caterina
author_facet Della Vecchia, Andrea
Neocosmos, Kibidi
Larremore, Daniel B.
Moore, Cristopher
De Bacco, Caterina
contents We present a physics-inspired method for inferring dynamic rankings in directed temporal networks - networks in which each directed and timestamped edge reflects the outcome and timing of a pairwise interaction. The inferred ranking of each node is real-valued and varies in time as each new edge, encoding an outcome like a win or loss, raises or lowers the node's estimated strength or prestige, as is often observed in real scenarios including sequences of games, tournaments, or interactions in animal hierarchies. Our method works by solving a linear system of equations and requires only one parameter to be tuned. As a result, the corresponding algorithm is scalable and efficient. We test our method by evaluating its ability to predict interactions (edges' existence) and their outcomes (edges' directions) in a variety of applications, including both synthetic and real data. Our analysis shows that in many cases our method's performance is better than existing methods for predicting dynamic rankings and interaction outcomes.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2307_13544
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A model for efficient dynamical ranking in networks
Della Vecchia, Andrea
Neocosmos, Kibidi
Larremore, Daniel B.
Moore, Cristopher
De Bacco, Caterina
Physics and Society
Machine Learning
Social and Information Networks
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
We present a physics-inspired method for inferring dynamic rankings in directed temporal networks - networks in which each directed and timestamped edge reflects the outcome and timing of a pairwise interaction. The inferred ranking of each node is real-valued and varies in time as each new edge, encoding an outcome like a win or loss, raises or lowers the node's estimated strength or prestige, as is often observed in real scenarios including sequences of games, tournaments, or interactions in animal hierarchies. Our method works by solving a linear system of equations and requires only one parameter to be tuned. As a result, the corresponding algorithm is scalable and efficient. We test our method by evaluating its ability to predict interactions (edges' existence) and their outcomes (edges' directions) in a variety of applications, including both synthetic and real data. Our analysis shows that in many cases our method's performance is better than existing methods for predicting dynamic rankings and interaction outcomes.
title A model for efficient dynamical ranking in networks
topic Physics and Society
Machine Learning
Social and Information Networks
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.13544