Infection-induced Cascading Failures -- Impact and Mitigation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Li, Bo, Saad, David
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Li, Bo
Saad, David
author_facet Li, Bo
Saad, David
contents In the context of epidemic spreading, many intricate dynamical patterns can emerge due to the cooperation of different types of pathogens or the interaction between the disease spread and other failure propagation mechanism. To unravel such patterns, simulation frameworks are usually adopted, but they are computationally demanding on big networks and subject to large statistical uncertainty. Here, we study the two-layer spreading processes on unidirectionally dependent networks, where the spreading infection of diseases or malware in one layer can trigger cascading failures in another layer and lead to secondary disasters, e.g., disrupting public services, supply chains, or power distribution. We utilize a dynamic message-passing method to devise efficient algorithms for inferring the system states, which allows one to investigate systematically the nature of complex intertwined spreading processes and evaluate their impact. Based on such dynamic message-passing framework and optimal control, we further develop an effective optimization algorithm for mitigating network failures.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2307_16767
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Infection-induced Cascading Failures -- Impact and Mitigation
Li, Bo
Saad, David
Physics and Society
Disordered Systems and Neural Networks
Optimization and Control
Populations and Evolution
In the context of epidemic spreading, many intricate dynamical patterns can emerge due to the cooperation of different types of pathogens or the interaction between the disease spread and other failure propagation mechanism. To unravel such patterns, simulation frameworks are usually adopted, but they are computationally demanding on big networks and subject to large statistical uncertainty. Here, we study the two-layer spreading processes on unidirectionally dependent networks, where the spreading infection of diseases or malware in one layer can trigger cascading failures in another layer and lead to secondary disasters, e.g., disrupting public services, supply chains, or power distribution. We utilize a dynamic message-passing method to devise efficient algorithms for inferring the system states, which allows one to investigate systematically the nature of complex intertwined spreading processes and evaluate their impact. Based on such dynamic message-passing framework and optimal control, we further develop an effective optimization algorithm for mitigating network failures.
title Infection-induced Cascading Failures -- Impact and Mitigation
topic Physics and Society
Disordered Systems and Neural Networks
Optimization and Control
Populations and Evolution
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.16767