Mixed orthogonality graphs for continuous-time stationary processes

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Fasen-Hartmann, Vicky, Schenk, Lea
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Fasen-Hartmann, Vicky
Schenk, Lea
author_facet Fasen-Hartmann, Vicky
Schenk, Lea
contents In this paper, we introduce different concepts of Granger causality and contemporaneous correlation for multivariate stationary continuous-time processes to model different dependencies between the component processes. Several equivalent characterisations are given for the different definitions, in particular by orthogonal projections. We then define two mixed graphs based on different definitions of Granger causality and contemporaneous correlation, the (mixed) orthogonality graph and the local (mixed) orthogonality graph. In these graphs, the components of the process are represented by vertices, directed edges between the vertices visualise Granger causal influences and undirected edges visualise contemporaneous correlation between the component processes. Further, we introduce various notions of Markov properties in analogy to Eichler (2012), which relate paths in the graphs to different dependence structures of subprocesses, and we derive sufficient criteria for the (local) orthogonality graph to satisfy them. Finally, as an example, for the popular multivariate continuous-time AR (MCAR) processes, we explicitly characterise the edges in the (local) orthogonality graph by the model parameters.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2308_08890
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Mixed orthogonality graphs for continuous-time stationary processes
Fasen-Hartmann, Vicky
Schenk, Lea
Statistics Theory
Probability
62H22, 62M10 (Primary) 62M20 (Secondary)
G.3
In this paper, we introduce different concepts of Granger causality and contemporaneous correlation for multivariate stationary continuous-time processes to model different dependencies between the component processes. Several equivalent characterisations are given for the different definitions, in particular by orthogonal projections. We then define two mixed graphs based on different definitions of Granger causality and contemporaneous correlation, the (mixed) orthogonality graph and the local (mixed) orthogonality graph. In these graphs, the components of the process are represented by vertices, directed edges between the vertices visualise Granger causal influences and undirected edges visualise contemporaneous correlation between the component processes. Further, we introduce various notions of Markov properties in analogy to Eichler (2012), which relate paths in the graphs to different dependence structures of subprocesses, and we derive sufficient criteria for the (local) orthogonality graph to satisfy them. Finally, as an example, for the popular multivariate continuous-time AR (MCAR) processes, we explicitly characterise the edges in the (local) orthogonality graph by the model parameters.
title Mixed orthogonality graphs for continuous-time stationary processes
topic Statistics Theory
Probability
62H22, 62M10 (Primary) 62M20 (Secondary)
G.3
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.08890