Exploration of the Rashomon Set Assists Trustworthy Explanations for Medical Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Kobylińska, Katarzyna, Krzyziński, Mateusz, Machowicz, Rafał, Adamek, Mariusz, Biecek, Przemysław
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Kobylińska, Katarzyna
Krzyziński, Mateusz
Machowicz, Rafał
Adamek, Mariusz
Biecek, Przemysław
author_facet Kobylińska, Katarzyna
Krzyziński, Mateusz
Machowicz, Rafał
Adamek, Mariusz
Biecek, Przemysław
contents The machine learning modeling process conventionally culminates in selecting a single model that maximizes a selected performance metric. However, this approach leads to abandoning a more profound analysis of slightly inferior models. Particularly in medical and healthcare studies, where the objective extends beyond predictions to valuable insight generation, relying solely on a single model can result in misleading or incomplete conclusions. This problem is particularly pertinent when dealing with a set of models known as $\textit{Rashomon set}$, with performance close to maximum one. Such a set can be numerous and may contain models describing the data in a different way, which calls for comprehensive analysis. This paper introduces a novel process to explore models in the Rashomon set, extending the conventional modeling approach. We propose the $\texttt{Rashomon_DETECT}$ algorithm to detect models with different behavior. It is based on recent developments in the eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) field. To quantify differences in variable effects among models, we introduce the Profile Disparity Index (PDI) based on measures from functional data analysis. To illustrate the effectiveness of our approach, we showcase its application in predicting survival among hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) patients - a foundational case study. Additionally, we benchmark our approach on other medical data sets, demonstrating its versatility and utility in various contexts. If differently behaving models are detected in the Rashomon set, their combined analysis leads to more trustworthy conclusions, which is of vital importance for high-stakes applications such as medical applications.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2308_11446
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Exploration of the Rashomon Set Assists Trustworthy Explanations for Medical Data
Kobylińska, Katarzyna
Krzyziński, Mateusz
Machowicz, Rafał
Adamek, Mariusz
Biecek, Przemysław
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
The machine learning modeling process conventionally culminates in selecting a single model that maximizes a selected performance metric. However, this approach leads to abandoning a more profound analysis of slightly inferior models. Particularly in medical and healthcare studies, where the objective extends beyond predictions to valuable insight generation, relying solely on a single model can result in misleading or incomplete conclusions. This problem is particularly pertinent when dealing with a set of models known as $\textit{Rashomon set}$, with performance close to maximum one. Such a set can be numerous and may contain models describing the data in a different way, which calls for comprehensive analysis. This paper introduces a novel process to explore models in the Rashomon set, extending the conventional modeling approach. We propose the $\texttt{Rashomon_DETECT}$ algorithm to detect models with different behavior. It is based on recent developments in the eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) field. To quantify differences in variable effects among models, we introduce the Profile Disparity Index (PDI) based on measures from functional data analysis. To illustrate the effectiveness of our approach, we showcase its application in predicting survival among hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) patients - a foundational case study. Additionally, we benchmark our approach on other medical data sets, demonstrating its versatility and utility in various contexts. If differently behaving models are detected in the Rashomon set, their combined analysis leads to more trustworthy conclusions, which is of vital importance for high-stakes applications such as medical applications.
title Exploration of the Rashomon Set Assists Trustworthy Explanations for Medical Data
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.11446