3D-Var Data Assimilation using a Variational Autoencoder

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Melinc, Boštjan, Zaplotnik, Žiga
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Melinc, Boštjan
Zaplotnik, Žiga
author_facet Melinc, Boštjan
Zaplotnik, Žiga
contents Data assimilation of atmospheric observations traditionally relies on variational and Kalman filter methods. Here, an alternative neural-network data assimilation (NNDA) with variational autoencoder (VAE) is proposed. The three-dimensional variational (3D-Var) data assimilation cost function is utilised to determine the analysis that optimally fuses simulated observations and the encoded short-range persistence forecast (background), accounting for their errors. The minimisation is performed in the reduced-order latent space, discovered by the VAE. The variational problem is auto-differentiable, simplifying the computation of the cost function gradient necessary for efficient minimisation. We demonstrate that the background-error covariance ($\mathbf{B}$) matrix measured and represented in the latent space is quasi-diagonal. The background-error covariances in the grid-point space are flow-dependent, evolving seasonally and depending on the current state of the atmosphere. Data assimilation experiments with a single temperature observation in the lower troposphere indicate that the $\mathbf{B}$-matrix simultaneously describes both tropical and extratropical background-error covariances.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2308_16073
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle 3D-Var Data Assimilation using a Variational Autoencoder
Melinc, Boštjan
Zaplotnik, Žiga
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Data assimilation of atmospheric observations traditionally relies on variational and Kalman filter methods. Here, an alternative neural-network data assimilation (NNDA) with variational autoencoder (VAE) is proposed. The three-dimensional variational (3D-Var) data assimilation cost function is utilised to determine the analysis that optimally fuses simulated observations and the encoded short-range persistence forecast (background), accounting for their errors. The minimisation is performed in the reduced-order latent space, discovered by the VAE. The variational problem is auto-differentiable, simplifying the computation of the cost function gradient necessary for efficient minimisation. We demonstrate that the background-error covariance ($\mathbf{B}$) matrix measured and represented in the latent space is quasi-diagonal. The background-error covariances in the grid-point space are flow-dependent, evolving seasonally and depending on the current state of the atmosphere. Data assimilation experiments with a single temperature observation in the lower troposphere indicate that the $\mathbf{B}$-matrix simultaneously describes both tropical and extratropical background-error covariances.
title 3D-Var Data Assimilation using a Variational Autoencoder
topic Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.16073