The Local Projection Residual Bootstrap for AR(1) Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Velez, Amilcar
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Velez, Amilcar
author_facet Velez, Amilcar
contents This paper proposes a local projection residual bootstrap method to construct confidence intervals for impulse response coefficients of AR(1) models. Our bootstrap method is based on the local projection (LP) approach and involves a residual bootstrap procedure applied to AR(1) models. We present theoretical results for our bootstrap method and proposed confidence intervals. First, we prove the uniform consistency of the LP-residual bootstrap over a large class of AR(1) models that allow for a unit root, conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form, and martingale difference shocks. Then, we prove the asymptotic validity of our confidence intervals over the same class of AR(1) models. Finally, we show that the LP-residual bootstrap provides asymptotic refinements for confidence intervals on a restricted class of AR(1) models relative to those required for the uniform consistency of our bootstrap.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2309_01889
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Local Projection Residual Bootstrap for AR(1) Models
Velez, Amilcar
Econometrics
This paper proposes a local projection residual bootstrap method to construct confidence intervals for impulse response coefficients of AR(1) models. Our bootstrap method is based on the local projection (LP) approach and involves a residual bootstrap procedure applied to AR(1) models. We present theoretical results for our bootstrap method and proposed confidence intervals. First, we prove the uniform consistency of the LP-residual bootstrap over a large class of AR(1) models that allow for a unit root, conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form, and martingale difference shocks. Then, we prove the asymptotic validity of our confidence intervals over the same class of AR(1) models. Finally, we show that the LP-residual bootstrap provides asymptotic refinements for confidence intervals on a restricted class of AR(1) models relative to those required for the uniform consistency of our bootstrap.
title The Local Projection Residual Bootstrap for AR(1) Models
topic Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.01889