Higher-Order Temporal Network Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Jung-Muller, Mathieu, Ceria, Alberto, Wang, Huijuan
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2023
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author Jung-Muller, Mathieu
Ceria, Alberto
Wang, Huijuan
author_facet Jung-Muller, Mathieu
Ceria, Alberto
Wang, Huijuan
contents A social interaction (so-called higher-order event/interaction) can be regarded as the activation of the hyperlink among the corresponding individuals. Social interactions can be, thus, represented as higher-order temporal networks, that record the higher-order events occurring at each time step over time. The prediction of higher-order interactions is usually overlooked in traditional temporal network prediction methods, where a higher-order interaction is regarded as a set of pairwise interactions. We propose a memory-based model that predicts the higher-order temporal network (or events) one step ahead, based on the network observed in the past and a baseline utilizing pair-wise temporal network prediction method. In eight real-world networks, we find that our model consistently outperforms the baseline. Importantly, our model reveals how past interactions of the target hyperlink and different types of hyperlinks that overlap with the target hyperlinks contribute to the prediction of the activation of the target link in the future.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2309_04376
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Higher-Order Temporal Network Prediction
Jung-Muller, Mathieu
Ceria, Alberto
Wang, Huijuan
Physics and Society
Social and Information Networks
A social interaction (so-called higher-order event/interaction) can be regarded as the activation of the hyperlink among the corresponding individuals. Social interactions can be, thus, represented as higher-order temporal networks, that record the higher-order events occurring at each time step over time. The prediction of higher-order interactions is usually overlooked in traditional temporal network prediction methods, where a higher-order interaction is regarded as a set of pairwise interactions. We propose a memory-based model that predicts the higher-order temporal network (or events) one step ahead, based on the network observed in the past and a baseline utilizing pair-wise temporal network prediction method. In eight real-world networks, we find that our model consistently outperforms the baseline. Importantly, our model reveals how past interactions of the target hyperlink and different types of hyperlinks that overlap with the target hyperlinks contribute to the prediction of the activation of the target link in the future.
title Higher-Order Temporal Network Prediction
topic Physics and Society
Social and Information Networks
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.04376