Testing the Regular Variation Model for Multivariate Extremes with Flexible Circular and Spherical Distributions

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Fernández-Durán, J., J., Gregorio-Domínguez, M, M.
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2023
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author Fernández-Durán
J., J.
Gregorio-Domínguez
M, M.
author_facet Fernández-Durán
J., J.
Gregorio-Domínguez
M, M.
contents The regular variation model for multivariate extremes decomposes the joint distribution of the extremes in polar coordinates in terms of the angles and the norm of the random vector as the product of two independent densities: the angular (spectral) measure and the density of the norm. The support of the angular measure is the surface of a unit hypersphere and the density of the norm corresponds to a Pareto density. The dependence structure is determined by the angular measure on the hypersphere, and directions with high probability characterize the dependence structure among the elements of the random vector of extreme values. Previous applications of the regular variation model have not considered a probabilistic model for the angular density and no statistical tests were applied. In this paper, circular and spherical distributions based on nonnegative trigonometric sums are considered flexible probabilistic models for the spectral measure that allows the application of statistical tests to make inferences about the dependence structure among extreme values. The proposed methodology is applied to real datasets from finance.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2309_04948
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Testing the Regular Variation Model for Multivariate Extremes with Flexible Circular and Spherical Distributions
Fernández-Durán
J., J.
Gregorio-Domínguez
M, M.
Methodology
62H11
The regular variation model for multivariate extremes decomposes the joint distribution of the extremes in polar coordinates in terms of the angles and the norm of the random vector as the product of two independent densities: the angular (spectral) measure and the density of the norm. The support of the angular measure is the surface of a unit hypersphere and the density of the norm corresponds to a Pareto density. The dependence structure is determined by the angular measure on the hypersphere, and directions with high probability characterize the dependence structure among the elements of the random vector of extreme values. Previous applications of the regular variation model have not considered a probabilistic model for the angular density and no statistical tests were applied. In this paper, circular and spherical distributions based on nonnegative trigonometric sums are considered flexible probabilistic models for the spectral measure that allows the application of statistical tests to make inferences about the dependence structure among extreme values. The proposed methodology is applied to real datasets from finance.
title Testing the Regular Variation Model for Multivariate Extremes with Flexible Circular and Spherical Distributions
topic Methodology
62H11
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.04948