Winner's Curse Free Robust Mendelian Randomization with Summary Data

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Hauptverfasser: Xie, Zhongming, Zhang, Wanheng, Wang, Jingshen, Wu, Chong
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2023
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author Xie, Zhongming
Zhang, Wanheng
Wang, Jingshen
Wu, Chong
author_facet Xie, Zhongming
Zhang, Wanheng
Wang, Jingshen
Wu, Chong
contents In the past decade, the increased availability of genome-wide association studies summary data has popularized Mendelian Randomization (MR) for conducting causal inference. MR analyses, incorporating genetic variants as instrumental variables, are known for their robustness against reverse causation bias and unmeasured confounders. Nevertheless, classical MR analyses utilizing summary data may still produce biased causal effect estimates due to the winner's curse and pleiotropic issues. To address these two issues and establish valid causal conclusions, we propose a unified robust Mendelian Randomization framework with summary data, which systematically removes the winner's curse and screens out invalid genetic instruments with pleiotropic effects. Different from existing robust MR literature, our framework delivers valid statistical inference on the causal effect neither requiring the genetic pleiotropy effects to follow any parametric distribution nor relying on perfect instrument screening property. Under appropriate conditions, we show that our proposed estimator converges to a normal distribution and its variance can be well estimated. We demonstrate the performance of our proposed estimator through Monte Carlo simulations and two case studies. The codes implementing the procedures are available at https://github.com/ChongWuLab/CARE/.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2309_04957
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Winner's Curse Free Robust Mendelian Randomization with Summary Data
Xie, Zhongming
Zhang, Wanheng
Wang, Jingshen
Wu, Chong
Methodology
In the past decade, the increased availability of genome-wide association studies summary data has popularized Mendelian Randomization (MR) for conducting causal inference. MR analyses, incorporating genetic variants as instrumental variables, are known for their robustness against reverse causation bias and unmeasured confounders. Nevertheless, classical MR analyses utilizing summary data may still produce biased causal effect estimates due to the winner's curse and pleiotropic issues. To address these two issues and establish valid causal conclusions, we propose a unified robust Mendelian Randomization framework with summary data, which systematically removes the winner's curse and screens out invalid genetic instruments with pleiotropic effects. Different from existing robust MR literature, our framework delivers valid statistical inference on the causal effect neither requiring the genetic pleiotropy effects to follow any parametric distribution nor relying on perfect instrument screening property. Under appropriate conditions, we show that our proposed estimator converges to a normal distribution and its variance can be well estimated. We demonstrate the performance of our proposed estimator through Monte Carlo simulations and two case studies. The codes implementing the procedures are available at https://github.com/ChongWuLab/CARE/.
title Winner's Curse Free Robust Mendelian Randomization with Summary Data
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.04957