Generalizing Trimming Bounds for Endogenously Missing Outcome Data Using Random Forests

Fuente: arXiv
Salvato in:
Dettagli Bibliografici
Autori principali: Samii, Cyrus, Wang, Ye, Zhou, Junlong Aaron
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
Soggetti:
Accesso online:
Tags: Aggiungi Tag
Nessun Tag, puoi essere il primo ad aggiungerne!!
_version_ 1866914252572327936
author Samii, Cyrus
Wang, Ye
Zhou, Junlong Aaron
author_facet Samii, Cyrus
Wang, Ye
Zhou, Junlong Aaron
contents In many experimental or quasi-experimental studies, outcomes of interest are only observed for subjects who select (or are selected) to engage in the activity generating the outcome. Outcome data is thus endogenously missing for units who do not engage, in which case random or conditionally random treatment assignment prior to such choices is insufficient to point identify treatment effects. Non-parametric partial identification bounds are a way to address endogenous missingness without having to make disputable parametric assumptions. Basic bounding approaches often yield bounds that are very wide and therefore minimally informative. We present methods for narrowing non-parametric bounds on treatment effects by adjusting for potentially large numbers of covariates, working with generalized random forests. Our approach allows for agnosticism about the data-generating process and honest inference. We use a simulation study and two replication exercises to demonstrate the benefits of our approach.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2309_08985
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Generalizing Trimming Bounds for Endogenously Missing Outcome Data Using Random Forests
Samii, Cyrus
Wang, Ye
Zhou, Junlong Aaron
Methodology
Applications
In many experimental or quasi-experimental studies, outcomes of interest are only observed for subjects who select (or are selected) to engage in the activity generating the outcome. Outcome data is thus endogenously missing for units who do not engage, in which case random or conditionally random treatment assignment prior to such choices is insufficient to point identify treatment effects. Non-parametric partial identification bounds are a way to address endogenous missingness without having to make disputable parametric assumptions. Basic bounding approaches often yield bounds that are very wide and therefore minimally informative. We present methods for narrowing non-parametric bounds on treatment effects by adjusting for potentially large numbers of covariates, working with generalized random forests. Our approach allows for agnosticism about the data-generating process and honest inference. We use a simulation study and two replication exercises to demonstrate the benefits of our approach.
title Generalizing Trimming Bounds for Endogenously Missing Outcome Data Using Random Forests
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.08985