pencal: an R Package for the Dynamic Prediction of Survival with Many Longitudinal Predictors

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: Signorelli, Mirko
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Signorelli, Mirko
author_facet Signorelli, Mirko
contents In survival analysis, longitudinal information on the health status of a patient can be used to dynamically update the predicted probability that a patient will experience an event of interest. Traditional approaches to dynamic prediction such as joint models become computationally unfeasible with more than a handful of longitudinal covariates, warranting the development of methods that can handle a larger number of longitudinal covariates. We introduce the R package pencal, which implements a Penalized Regression Calibration (PRC) approach that makes it possible to handle many longitudinal covariates as predictors of survival. pencal uses mixed-effects models to summarize the trajectories of the longitudinal covariates up to a prespecified landmark time, and a penalized Cox model to predict survival based on both baseline covariates and summary measures of the longitudinal covariates. This article illustrates the structure of the R package, provides a step by step example showing how to estimate PRC, compute dynamic predictions of survival and validate performance, and shows how parallelization can be used to significantly reduce computing time.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2309_15600
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle pencal: an R Package for the Dynamic Prediction of Survival with Many Longitudinal Predictors
Signorelli, Mirko
Methodology
Computation
In survival analysis, longitudinal information on the health status of a patient can be used to dynamically update the predicted probability that a patient will experience an event of interest. Traditional approaches to dynamic prediction such as joint models become computationally unfeasible with more than a handful of longitudinal covariates, warranting the development of methods that can handle a larger number of longitudinal covariates. We introduce the R package pencal, which implements a Penalized Regression Calibration (PRC) approach that makes it possible to handle many longitudinal covariates as predictors of survival. pencal uses mixed-effects models to summarize the trajectories of the longitudinal covariates up to a prespecified landmark time, and a penalized Cox model to predict survival based on both baseline covariates and summary measures of the longitudinal covariates. This article illustrates the structure of the R package, provides a step by step example showing how to estimate PRC, compute dynamic predictions of survival and validate performance, and shows how parallelization can be used to significantly reduce computing time.
title pencal: an R Package for the Dynamic Prediction of Survival with Many Longitudinal Predictors
topic Methodology
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.15600