The long-term impact of (un)conditional cash transfers on labour market outcomes in Ecuador

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Ponce, Juan, Antón, José-Ignacio, Onofa, Mercedes, Castillo, Roberto
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Ponce, Juan
Antón, José-Ignacio
Onofa, Mercedes
Castillo, Roberto
author_facet Ponce, Juan
Antón, José-Ignacio
Onofa, Mercedes
Castillo, Roberto
contents Despite the widespread implementation of conditional cash transfers in low- and middle-income countries, evidence on their long-term effects remains limited. This paper evaluates the impact of Ecuador's Human Development Grant on the formal labour market outcomes of children from eligible households. The programme, one of the first of its kind, was characterised by weak enforcement of its eligibility criteria. Using a regression discontinuity design, we find that the grant increased the probability of working in the formal sector by almost 13\% around 15 years after exposure, thereby helping to curb the intergenerational transmission of poverty. This positive effect is most likely to operate through human capital accumulation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2309_17216
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The long-term impact of (un)conditional cash transfers on labour market outcomes in Ecuador
Ponce, Juan
Antón, José-Ignacio
Onofa, Mercedes
Castillo, Roberto
General Economics
Economics
Despite the widespread implementation of conditional cash transfers in low- and middle-income countries, evidence on their long-term effects remains limited. This paper evaluates the impact of Ecuador's Human Development Grant on the formal labour market outcomes of children from eligible households. The programme, one of the first of its kind, was characterised by weak enforcement of its eligibility criteria. Using a regression discontinuity design, we find that the grant increased the probability of working in the formal sector by almost 13\% around 15 years after exposure, thereby helping to curb the intergenerational transmission of poverty. This positive effect is most likely to operate through human capital accumulation.
title The long-term impact of (un)conditional cash transfers on labour market outcomes in Ecuador
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.17216