Higher criticism for rare and weak non-proportional hazard deviations in survival analysis

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Kipnis, Alon, Galili, Ben, Yakhini, Zohar
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Kipnis, Alon
Galili, Ben
Yakhini, Zohar
author_facet Kipnis, Alon
Galili, Ben
Yakhini, Zohar
contents We propose a method for comparing survival data based on the higher criticism of p-values obtained from multiple exact hypergeometric tests. The method accommodates non-informative right-censorship and is sensitive to hazard differences in unknown and relatively rare time intervals. It attains much better power against such differences than the log-rank test and its variants. We demonstrate the usefulness of our method in detecting rare and weak non-proportional hazard differences compared to existing tests, using simulations and actual gene expression data. Additionally, we analyze the asymptotic power of our method and other tests under a theoretical framework describing two groups experiencing failure rates that are usually identical over time, except in a few unknown instances where one group's failure rate is higher. Our test's power undergoes a phase transition across the plane of rarity and intensity parameters that mirrors the phase transition of higher criticism in two-sample settings with rare and weak normal and Poisson means. The region of the plane in which our method has asymptotically full power is larger than the corresponding region for the log-rank test.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2310_00554
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Higher criticism for rare and weak non-proportional hazard deviations in survival analysis
Kipnis, Alon
Galili, Ben
Yakhini, Zohar
Statistics Theory
Methodology
62N03, 62H15
We propose a method for comparing survival data based on the higher criticism of p-values obtained from multiple exact hypergeometric tests. The method accommodates non-informative right-censorship and is sensitive to hazard differences in unknown and relatively rare time intervals. It attains much better power against such differences than the log-rank test and its variants. We demonstrate the usefulness of our method in detecting rare and weak non-proportional hazard differences compared to existing tests, using simulations and actual gene expression data. Additionally, we analyze the asymptotic power of our method and other tests under a theoretical framework describing two groups experiencing failure rates that are usually identical over time, except in a few unknown instances where one group's failure rate is higher. Our test's power undergoes a phase transition across the plane of rarity and intensity parameters that mirrors the phase transition of higher criticism in two-sample settings with rare and weak normal and Poisson means. The region of the plane in which our method has asymptotically full power is larger than the corresponding region for the log-rank test.
title Higher criticism for rare and weak non-proportional hazard deviations in survival analysis
topic Statistics Theory
Methodology
62N03, 62H15
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.00554