Time-Uniform Self-Normalized Concentration for Vector-Valued Processes

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Hauptverfasser: Whitehouse, Justin, Wu, Zhiwei Steven, Ramdas, Aaditya
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2023
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author Whitehouse, Justin
Wu, Zhiwei Steven
Ramdas, Aaditya
author_facet Whitehouse, Justin
Wu, Zhiwei Steven
Ramdas, Aaditya
contents Self-normalized processes arise naturally in many learning-related tasks. While self-normalized concentration has been extensively studied for scalar-valued processes, there are few results for multidimensional processes outside of the sub-Gaussian setting. In this work, we construct a general, self-normalized inequality for multivariate processes that satisfy a simple yet broad sub-$ψ$ tail condition, which generalizes assumptions based on cumulant generating functions. From this general inequality, we derive an upper law of the iterated logarithm for sub-$ψ$ vector-valued processes, which is tight up to small constants. We show how our inequality can be leveraged to derive a variety of novel, self-normalized concentration inequalities under both light and heavy-tailed observations. Further, we provide applications in prototypical statistical tasks, such as parameter estimation in online linear regression, autoregressive modeling, and bounded mean estimation via a new (multivariate) empirical Bernstein concentration inequality.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2310_09100
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Time-Uniform Self-Normalized Concentration for Vector-Valued Processes
Whitehouse, Justin
Wu, Zhiwei Steven
Ramdas, Aaditya
Probability
Statistics Theory
Methodology
Self-normalized processes arise naturally in many learning-related tasks. While self-normalized concentration has been extensively studied for scalar-valued processes, there are few results for multidimensional processes outside of the sub-Gaussian setting. In this work, we construct a general, self-normalized inequality for multivariate processes that satisfy a simple yet broad sub-$ψ$ tail condition, which generalizes assumptions based on cumulant generating functions. From this general inequality, we derive an upper law of the iterated logarithm for sub-$ψ$ vector-valued processes, which is tight up to small constants. We show how our inequality can be leveraged to derive a variety of novel, self-normalized concentration inequalities under both light and heavy-tailed observations. Further, we provide applications in prototypical statistical tasks, such as parameter estimation in online linear regression, autoregressive modeling, and bounded mean estimation via a new (multivariate) empirical Bernstein concentration inequality.
title Time-Uniform Self-Normalized Concentration for Vector-Valued Processes
topic Probability
Statistics Theory
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.09100