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Main Authors: Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolo, Colomboni, Roberto, Kasy, Maximilian
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.09597
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author Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolo
Colomboni, Roberto
Kasy, Maximilian
author_facet Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolo
Colomboni, Roberto
Kasy, Maximilian
contents We consider the problem of repeatedly choosing policies to maximize social welfare. Welfare is a weighted sum of private utility and public revenue. Earlier outcomes inform later policies. Utility is not observed, but indirectly inferred. Response functions are learned through experimentation. We derive a lower bound on regret, and a matching adversarial upper bound for a variant of the Exp3 algorithm. Cumulative regret grows at a rate of $T^{2/3}$. This implies that (i) welfare maximization is harder than the multi-armed bandit problem (with a rate of $T^{1/2}$ for finite policy sets), and (ii) our algorithm achieves the optimal rate. For the stochastic setting, if social welfare is concave, we can achieve a rate of $T^{1/2}$ (for continuous policy sets), using a dyadic search algorithm. We analyze an extension to nonlinear income taxation, and sketch an extension to commodity taxation. We compare our setting to monopoly pricing (which is easier), and price setting for bilateral trade (which is harder).
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2310_09597
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Adaptive maximization of social welfare
Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolo
Colomboni, Roberto
Kasy, Maximilian
Econometrics
Machine Learning
We consider the problem of repeatedly choosing policies to maximize social welfare. Welfare is a weighted sum of private utility and public revenue. Earlier outcomes inform later policies. Utility is not observed, but indirectly inferred. Response functions are learned through experimentation. We derive a lower bound on regret, and a matching adversarial upper bound for a variant of the Exp3 algorithm. Cumulative regret grows at a rate of $T^{2/3}$. This implies that (i) welfare maximization is harder than the multi-armed bandit problem (with a rate of $T^{1/2}$ for finite policy sets), and (ii) our algorithm achieves the optimal rate. For the stochastic setting, if social welfare is concave, we can achieve a rate of $T^{1/2}$ (for continuous policy sets), using a dyadic search algorithm. We analyze an extension to nonlinear income taxation, and sketch an extension to commodity taxation. We compare our setting to monopoly pricing (which is easier), and price setting for bilateral trade (which is harder).
title Adaptive maximization of social welfare
topic Econometrics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.09597