Treatment bootstrapping: A new approach to quantify uncertainty of average treatment effect estimates

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: Li, Jing
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Li, Jing
author_facet Li, Jing
contents This paper proposes a new non-parametric bootstrap method to quantify the uncertainty of average treatment effect estimate for the treated from matching estimators. More specifically, it seeks to quantify the uncertainty associated with the average treatment effect estimate for the treated by bootstrapping the treatment group only and finding the counterpart control group by pair matching on estimated propensity score without replacement. We demonstrate the validity of this approach and compare it with existing bootstrap approaches through Monte Carlo simulation and analysis of a real world data set. The results indicate that the proposed approach constructs confidence intervals and standard errors that have 95 percent or above coverage rate and better precision compared with existing bootstrap approaches, while these measures also depend on percent treated in the sample data and the sample size.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2310_11683
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Treatment bootstrapping: A new approach to quantify uncertainty of average treatment effect estimates
Li, Jing
Methodology
Applications
This paper proposes a new non-parametric bootstrap method to quantify the uncertainty of average treatment effect estimate for the treated from matching estimators. More specifically, it seeks to quantify the uncertainty associated with the average treatment effect estimate for the treated by bootstrapping the treatment group only and finding the counterpart control group by pair matching on estimated propensity score without replacement. We demonstrate the validity of this approach and compare it with existing bootstrap approaches through Monte Carlo simulation and analysis of a real world data set. The results indicate that the proposed approach constructs confidence intervals and standard errors that have 95 percent or above coverage rate and better precision compared with existing bootstrap approaches, while these measures also depend on percent treated in the sample data and the sample size.
title Treatment bootstrapping: A new approach to quantify uncertainty of average treatment effect estimates
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.11683