Identifiability of total effects from abstractions of time series causal graphs

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Assaad, Charles K., Devijver, Emilie, Gaussier, Eric, Gössler, Gregor, Meynaoui, Anouar
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2023
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author Assaad, Charles K.
Devijver, Emilie
Gaussier, Eric
Gössler, Gregor
Meynaoui, Anouar
author_facet Assaad, Charles K.
Devijver, Emilie
Gaussier, Eric
Gössler, Gregor
Meynaoui, Anouar
contents We study the problem of identifiability of the total effect of an intervention from observational time series in the situation, common in practice, where one only has access to abstractions of the true causal graph. We consider here two abstractions: the extended summary causal graph, which conflates all lagged causal relations but distinguishes between lagged and instantaneous relations, and the summary causal graph which does not give any indication about the lag between causal relations. We show that the total effect is always identifiable in extended summary causal graphs and provide sufficient conditions for identifiability in summary causal graphs. We furthermore provide adjustment sets allowing to estimate the total effect whenever it is identifiable.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2310_14691
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Identifiability of total effects from abstractions of time series causal graphs
Assaad, Charles K.
Devijver, Emilie
Gaussier, Eric
Gössler, Gregor
Meynaoui, Anouar
Statistics Theory
Artificial Intelligence
We study the problem of identifiability of the total effect of an intervention from observational time series in the situation, common in practice, where one only has access to abstractions of the true causal graph. We consider here two abstractions: the extended summary causal graph, which conflates all lagged causal relations but distinguishes between lagged and instantaneous relations, and the summary causal graph which does not give any indication about the lag between causal relations. We show that the total effect is always identifiable in extended summary causal graphs and provide sufficient conditions for identifiability in summary causal graphs. We furthermore provide adjustment sets allowing to estimate the total effect whenever it is identifiable.
title Identifiability of total effects from abstractions of time series causal graphs
topic Statistics Theory
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.14691