Causal Modeling with Stationary Diffusions

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Lorch, Lars, Krause, Andreas, Schölkopf, Bernhard
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2023
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author Lorch, Lars
Krause, Andreas
Schölkopf, Bernhard
author_facet Lorch, Lars
Krause, Andreas
Schölkopf, Bernhard
contents We develop a novel approach towards causal inference. Rather than structural equations over a causal graph, we learn stochastic differential equations (SDEs) whose stationary densities model a system's behavior under interventions. These stationary diffusion models do not require the formalism of causal graphs, let alone the common assumption of acyclicity. We show that in several cases, they generalize to unseen interventions on their variables, often better than classical approaches. Our inference method is based on a new theoretical result that expresses a stationarity condition on the diffusion's generator in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. The resulting kernel deviation from stationarity (KDS) is an objective function of independent interest.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2310_17405
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Causal Modeling with Stationary Diffusions
Lorch, Lars
Krause, Andreas
Schölkopf, Bernhard
Machine Learning
We develop a novel approach towards causal inference. Rather than structural equations over a causal graph, we learn stochastic differential equations (SDEs) whose stationary densities model a system's behavior under interventions. These stationary diffusion models do not require the formalism of causal graphs, let alone the common assumption of acyclicity. We show that in several cases, they generalize to unseen interventions on their variables, often better than classical approaches. Our inference method is based on a new theoretical result that expresses a stationarity condition on the diffusion's generator in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. The resulting kernel deviation from stationarity (KDS) is an objective function of independent interest.
title Causal Modeling with Stationary Diffusions
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.17405