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Main Authors: Khraisha, Qusai, Put, Sophie, Kappenberg, Johanna, Warraitch, Azza, Hadfield, Kristin
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.17526
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author Khraisha, Qusai
Put, Sophie
Kappenberg, Johanna
Warraitch, Azza
Hadfield, Kristin
author_facet Khraisha, Qusai
Put, Sophie
Kappenberg, Johanna
Warraitch, Azza
Hadfield, Kristin
contents Systematic reviews are vital for guiding practice, research, and policy, yet they are often slow and labour-intensive. Large language models (LLMs) could offer a way to speed up and automate systematic reviews, but their performance in such tasks has not been comprehensively evaluated against humans, and no study has tested GPT-4, the biggest LLM so far. This pre-registered study evaluates GPT-4's capability in title/abstract screening, full-text review, and data extraction across various literature types and languages using a 'human-out-of-the-loop' approach. Although GPT-4 had accuracy on par with human performance in most tasks, results were skewed by chance agreement and dataset imbalance. After adjusting for these, there was a moderate level of performance for data extraction, and - barring studies that used highly reliable prompts - screening performance levelled at none to moderate for different stages and languages. When screening full-text literature using highly reliable prompts, GPT-4's performance was 'almost perfect.' Penalising GPT-4 for missing key studies using highly reliable prompts improved its performance even more. Our findings indicate that, currently, substantial caution should be used if LLMs are being used to conduct systematic reviews, but suggest that, for certain systematic review tasks delivered under reliable prompts, LLMs can rival human performance.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2310_17526
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Can large language models replace humans in the systematic review process? Evaluating GPT-4's efficacy in screening and extracting data from peer-reviewed and grey literature in multiple languages
Khraisha, Qusai
Put, Sophie
Kappenberg, Johanna
Warraitch, Azza
Hadfield, Kristin
Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Systematic reviews are vital for guiding practice, research, and policy, yet they are often slow and labour-intensive. Large language models (LLMs) could offer a way to speed up and automate systematic reviews, but their performance in such tasks has not been comprehensively evaluated against humans, and no study has tested GPT-4, the biggest LLM so far. This pre-registered study evaluates GPT-4's capability in title/abstract screening, full-text review, and data extraction across various literature types and languages using a 'human-out-of-the-loop' approach. Although GPT-4 had accuracy on par with human performance in most tasks, results were skewed by chance agreement and dataset imbalance. After adjusting for these, there was a moderate level of performance for data extraction, and - barring studies that used highly reliable prompts - screening performance levelled at none to moderate for different stages and languages. When screening full-text literature using highly reliable prompts, GPT-4's performance was 'almost perfect.' Penalising GPT-4 for missing key studies using highly reliable prompts improved its performance even more. Our findings indicate that, currently, substantial caution should be used if LLMs are being used to conduct systematic reviews, but suggest that, for certain systematic review tasks delivered under reliable prompts, LLMs can rival human performance.
title Can large language models replace humans in the systematic review process? Evaluating GPT-4's efficacy in screening and extracting data from peer-reviewed and grey literature in multiple languages
topic Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.17526