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Hauptverfasser: Chen, David, Rytgaard, Helene C. W., Fong, Edwin C. H., Tarp, Jens M., Petersen, Maya L., van der Laan, Mark J., Gerds, Thomas A.
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2023
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.19197
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author Chen, David
Rytgaard, Helene C. W.
Fong, Edwin C. H.
Tarp, Jens M.
Petersen, Maya L.
van der Laan, Mark J.
Gerds, Thomas A.
author_facet Chen, David
Rytgaard, Helene C. W.
Fong, Edwin C. H.
Tarp, Jens M.
Petersen, Maya L.
van der Laan, Mark J.
Gerds, Thomas A.
contents This article introduces the R package concrete, which implements a recently developed targeted maximum likelihood estimator (TMLE) for the cause-specific absolute risks of time-to-event outcomes measured in continuous time. Cross-validated Super Learner machine learning ensembles are used to estimate propensity scores and conditional cause-specific hazards, which are then targeted to produce robust and efficient plug-in estimates of the effects of static or dynamic interventions on a binary treatment given at baseline quantified as risk differences or risk ratios. Influence curve-based asymptotic inference is provided for TMLE estimates and simultaneous confidence bands can be computed for target estimands spanning multiple multiple times or events. In this paper we review the one-step continuous-time TMLE methodology as it is situated in an overarching causal inference workflow, describe its implementation, and demonstrate the use of the package on the PBC dataset.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2310_19197
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle concrete: Targeted Estimation of Survival and Competing Risks in Continuous Time
Chen, David
Rytgaard, Helene C. W.
Fong, Edwin C. H.
Tarp, Jens M.
Petersen, Maya L.
van der Laan, Mark J.
Gerds, Thomas A.
Computation
This article introduces the R package concrete, which implements a recently developed targeted maximum likelihood estimator (TMLE) for the cause-specific absolute risks of time-to-event outcomes measured in continuous time. Cross-validated Super Learner machine learning ensembles are used to estimate propensity scores and conditional cause-specific hazards, which are then targeted to produce robust and efficient plug-in estimates of the effects of static or dynamic interventions on a binary treatment given at baseline quantified as risk differences or risk ratios. Influence curve-based asymptotic inference is provided for TMLE estimates and simultaneous confidence bands can be computed for target estimands spanning multiple multiple times or events. In this paper we review the one-step continuous-time TMLE methodology as it is situated in an overarching causal inference workflow, describe its implementation, and demonstrate the use of the package on the PBC dataset.
title concrete: Targeted Estimation of Survival and Competing Risks in Continuous Time
topic Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.19197