Bayesian real-time classification of multi-messenger electromagnetic and gravitational-wave observations

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Berbel, Marina, Miravet-Tenés, Miquel, Chaudhary, Sushant Sharma, Albanesi, Simone, Cavaglià, Marco, Zertuche, Lorena Magaña, Tseneklidou, Dimitra, Zheng, Yanyan, Coughlin, Michael W., Toivonen, Andrew
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Berbel, Marina
Miravet-Tenés, Miquel
Chaudhary, Sushant Sharma
Albanesi, Simone
Cavaglià, Marco
Zertuche, Lorena Magaña
Tseneklidou, Dimitra
Zheng, Yanyan
Coughlin, Michael W.
Toivonen, Andrew
author_facet Berbel, Marina
Miravet-Tenés, Miquel
Chaudhary, Sushant Sharma
Albanesi, Simone
Cavaglià, Marco
Zertuche, Lorena Magaña
Tseneklidou, Dimitra
Zheng, Yanyan
Coughlin, Michael W.
Toivonen, Andrew
contents Because of the electromagnetic radiation produced during the merger, compact binary coalescences with neutron stars may result in multi-messenger observations. In order to follow up on the gravitational-wave signal with electromagnetic telescopes, it is critical to promptly identify the properties of these sources. This identification must rely on the properties of the progenitor source, such as the component masses and spins, as determined by low-latency detection pipelines in real time. The output of these pipelines, however, might be biased, which could decrease the accuracy of parameter recovery. Machine learning algorithms are used to correct this bias. In this work, we revisit this problem and discuss two new implementations of supervised machine learning algorithms, K-Nearest Neighbors and Random Forest, which are able to predict the presence of a neutron star and post-merger matter remnant in low-latency compact binary coalescence searches across different search pipelines and data sets. Additionally, we present a novel approach for calculating the Bayesian probabilities for these two metrics. Instead of metric scores derived from binary machine learning classifiers, our scheme is designed to provide the astronomy community well-defined probabilities. This would deliver a more direct and easily interpretable product to assist electromagnetic telescopes in deciding whether to follow up on gravitational-wave events in real time.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2311_00045
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian real-time classification of multi-messenger electromagnetic and gravitational-wave observations
Berbel, Marina
Miravet-Tenés, Miquel
Chaudhary, Sushant Sharma
Albanesi, Simone
Cavaglià, Marco
Zertuche, Lorena Magaña
Tseneklidou, Dimitra
Zheng, Yanyan
Coughlin, Michael W.
Toivonen, Andrew
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Because of the electromagnetic radiation produced during the merger, compact binary coalescences with neutron stars may result in multi-messenger observations. In order to follow up on the gravitational-wave signal with electromagnetic telescopes, it is critical to promptly identify the properties of these sources. This identification must rely on the properties of the progenitor source, such as the component masses and spins, as determined by low-latency detection pipelines in real time. The output of these pipelines, however, might be biased, which could decrease the accuracy of parameter recovery. Machine learning algorithms are used to correct this bias. In this work, we revisit this problem and discuss two new implementations of supervised machine learning algorithms, K-Nearest Neighbors and Random Forest, which are able to predict the presence of a neutron star and post-merger matter remnant in low-latency compact binary coalescence searches across different search pipelines and data sets. Additionally, we present a novel approach for calculating the Bayesian probabilities for these two metrics. Instead of metric scores derived from binary machine learning classifiers, our scheme is designed to provide the astronomy community well-defined probabilities. This would deliver a more direct and easily interpretable product to assist electromagnetic telescopes in deciding whether to follow up on gravitational-wave events in real time.
title Bayesian real-time classification of multi-messenger electromagnetic and gravitational-wave observations
topic High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.00045