Co-data Learning for Bayesian Additive Regression Trees

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Goedhart, Jeroen M., Klausch, Thomas, Janssen, Jurriaan, van de Wiel, Mark A.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Goedhart, Jeroen M.
Klausch, Thomas
Janssen, Jurriaan
van de Wiel, Mark A.
author_facet Goedhart, Jeroen M.
Klausch, Thomas
Janssen, Jurriaan
van de Wiel, Mark A.
contents Medical prediction applications often need to deal with small sample sizes compared to the number of covariates. Such data pose problems for prediction and variable selection, especially when the covariate-response relationship is complicated. To address these challenges, we propose to incorporate co-data, i.e. external information on the covariates, into Bayesian additive regression trees (BART), a sum-of-trees prediction model that utilizes priors on the tree parameters to prevent overfitting. To incorporate co-data, an empirical Bayes (EB) framework is developed that estimates, assisted by a co-data model, prior covariate weights in the BART model. The proposed method can handle multiple types of co-data simultaneously. Furthermore, the proposed EB framework enables the estimation of the other hyperparameters of BART as well, rendering an appealing alternative to cross-validation. We show that the method finds relevant covariates and that it improves prediction compared to default BART in simulations. If the covariate-response relationship is nonlinear, the method benefits from the flexibility of BART to outperform regression-based co-data learners. Finally, the use of co-data enhances prediction in an application to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma prognosis based on clinical covariates, gene mutations, DNA translocations, and DNA copy number data. Keywords: Bayesian additive regression trees; Empirical Bayes; Co-data; High-dimensional data; Omics; Prediction
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2311_09997
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Co-data Learning for Bayesian Additive Regression Trees
Goedhart, Jeroen M.
Klausch, Thomas
Janssen, Jurriaan
van de Wiel, Mark A.
Machine Learning
Medical prediction applications often need to deal with small sample sizes compared to the number of covariates. Such data pose problems for prediction and variable selection, especially when the covariate-response relationship is complicated. To address these challenges, we propose to incorporate co-data, i.e. external information on the covariates, into Bayesian additive regression trees (BART), a sum-of-trees prediction model that utilizes priors on the tree parameters to prevent overfitting. To incorporate co-data, an empirical Bayes (EB) framework is developed that estimates, assisted by a co-data model, prior covariate weights in the BART model. The proposed method can handle multiple types of co-data simultaneously. Furthermore, the proposed EB framework enables the estimation of the other hyperparameters of BART as well, rendering an appealing alternative to cross-validation. We show that the method finds relevant covariates and that it improves prediction compared to default BART in simulations. If the covariate-response relationship is nonlinear, the method benefits from the flexibility of BART to outperform regression-based co-data learners. Finally, the use of co-data enhances prediction in an application to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma prognosis based on clinical covariates, gene mutations, DNA translocations, and DNA copy number data. Keywords: Bayesian additive regression trees; Empirical Bayes; Co-data; High-dimensional data; Omics; Prediction
title Co-data Learning for Bayesian Additive Regression Trees
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.09997